Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:14:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x228b…af4c
sports · 112 markets active 6h ago
0.0score
+$51,683 +19%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$51,682 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$984
Realized+$51,682
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses103 / 224
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$2,670
Open positions5
Markets (closed)327 / 112
Avg bet$2,433
Trades / day2832.2
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit93%
Chart Positions 5 History 327 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$51,682
7 days+$51,682
14 days+$51,682
30 days+$51,682
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? No 98¢ 98¢ $978 $978 −$0 (-0%)
Spread: Ecuador (-2.5) Ecuador 4¢ 5¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+14%)
Spread: Tunisia (-2.5) Tunisia 1¢ 2¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+36%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Under 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 6.5 Under 99¢ 99¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+0%)
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5 Over 16¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Cleveland Guardians 20¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5 Under 6¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5 Under 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Spurs 55¢ 0¢ $2,637 $0 −$2,637 (-100%)
Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5) Pacers 48¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Under 19¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Mavericks vs. Spurs Mavericks 6¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Thunder 13¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Spread: Cyprus (-2.5) Cyprus 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5 Over 64¢ 0¢ $774 $0 −$774 (-100%)
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5 Under 11¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Spread: Heat (-10.5) Hawks 27¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 219.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $126 $0 −$126 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5 Under 22¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Spread: Magic (-18.5) Magic 55¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Spurs 59¢ 0¢ $599 $0 −$599 (-100%)
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Pistons vs. Hornets: O/U 242.5 Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-2.5) Jun 12 $16 +$109 +674%
Pistons vs. Pacers: O/U 227.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Heat vs. Wizards: O/U 234.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-7.5) Jun 12 $2,637 −$2,998 -114%
Spread: Timberwolves (-17.5) Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Poland vs. Nigeria: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $21 −$21 -100%
Mavericks vs. Spurs Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Spread: Spurs (-8.5) Jun 12 $126 −$111 -88%
Spread: Cyprus (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 242.5 Jun 12 $774 −$774 -100%
Panama vs. Dominican Republic: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Spread: Heat (-10.5) Jun 12 $98 −$98 -100%
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 219.5 Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $126 +$88 +70%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Spread: Magic (-18.5) Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 217.5 Jun 12 $39 −$39 -100%
Spread: Thunder (-8.5) Jun 12 $599 −$734 -123%
76ers vs. Pacers: O/U 223.5 Jun 12 $44 −$44 -100%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $70 −$100 -142%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 244.5 Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Madrid Open: Aryna Sabalenka vs Hailey Baptiste Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Spread: Andorra (-2.5) Jun 12 $58 −$58 -100%
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $270 −$270 -100%
Spread: Nuggets (-10.5) Jun 12 $32 +$182 +563%
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 232.5 Jun 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-3.5) Jun 12 $238 −$23 -10%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5 Jun 12 $76 −$76 -100%
Hawks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 243.5 Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Cavaliers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5 Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $97 −$97 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankees: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $330 −$330 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5 Jun 12 $145 −$299 -206%
Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 12 $237 −$176 -74%
Spread: Croatia (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Spread: Pistons (-28.5) Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 200.5 Jun 12 $3 +$410 +14036%
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $261 −$261 -100%
Spread: Bulls (-14.5) Jun 12 $14 −$14 -100%
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 213.5 Jun 12 $26 −$2,269 -8814%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $51 −$51 -100%
Spread: Cavaliers (-11.5) Jun 12 $1 +$2,100 +331856%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $87 −$87 -100%
Netherlands vs. Algeria: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Brentford FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $105 −$105 -100%
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 200.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% +$61,343
other 11% −$892
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 59¢ $2 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 10¢ $16 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 BUY Over 1¢ $2 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 10¢ $5 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 89¢ $873 5h
Spread: Korea Republic (-1.5) BUY Korea Republic 3¢ $4 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Czechia O/U 2.5 BUY Under 96¢ $234 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 10¢ $99 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 10¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $1 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $14 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $98 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $181 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $17 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $9 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $0 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $2 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $19 5h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 97¢ $100 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $5 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $43 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $54 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $4 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $18 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $30 5h
Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? BUY Yes 58¢ $3 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)+107.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 327 +129.3% +107.5% 31% 24% -3.4%
≤30d 327 +129.3% +107.5% 31% 24% -3.4%
≤90d 327 +129.3% +107.5% 31% 24% -3.4%
all 327 +129.3% +107.5% 31% 24% -3.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2832.2 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +107.5% 24% -3.4%
10% +87.6% 21% -12.6%
15% ← realistic here +69.5% 19% -21.1%
20% +52.9% 18% -28.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $983.91 · official $983.91 (match) · 3500 history records