Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:05:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x227d…69fc
crypto · 234 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$871 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$871 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$871
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses173 / 61
Open positions0
Markets (closed)234 / 234
History coverage7d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day464.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 234 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$98
7 days−$871
14 days−$871
30 days−$871
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $99 $0 −$99 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$6 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $29 −$28 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 14 $96 +$5 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $100 +$14 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 14 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $76 +$29 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $92 +$11 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $67 +$37 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $98 +$4 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $94 +$10 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $96 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $96 +$7 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$5 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $98 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $67 +$45 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +190%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$99 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $51 −$49 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$3 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$871
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $99 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $29 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $96 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $100 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $99 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $99 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $76 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $99 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $96 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $92 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $67 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $98 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $99 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $94 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $96 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $99 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 234 +0.7% -8.9% 74% 24% -12.7%
≤30d 234 +0.7% -8.9% 74% 24% -12.7%
≤90d 234 +0.7% -8.9% 74% 24% -12.7%
all 234 +0.7% -8.9% 74% 24% -12.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover464.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 24% -12.7%
10% ← realistic here -17.6% 13% -21.1%
15% -25.6% 6% -28.7%
20% -32.9% 3% -35.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records