Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x227c…ab8d
crypto · 38 markets active 0h ago
4.0score
+$8 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses27 / 11
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day46.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$8
7 days+$8
14 days+$8
30 days+$8
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 64¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -80%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -79%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$3 -83%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +38%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $52 −$1 -2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -74%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -85%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +48%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -56%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +40%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +33%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +36%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $5 15m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 54m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $5 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 1¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 71¢ $5 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Up 76¢ $51 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $52 2h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +71%
net ROI/market (all)-6.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +3.9% -6.0% 71% 71% -6.5%
≤30d 38 +3.9% -6.0% 71% 71% -6.5%
≤90d 38 +3.9% -6.0% 71% 71% -6.5%
all 38 +3.9% -6.0% 71% 71% -6.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.0% 71% -6.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.0% 71% -15.4%
15% -23.2% 47% -23.6%
20% -30.7% 0% -31.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 73 history records