Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:31:45+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x2277…6604
crypto · 1025 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$1,681 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,681 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Chart Positions 0 History 1048 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,681
7 days+$1,681
14 days+$1,681
30 days+$1,681
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $523 $528 +$5 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $85 $86 +$1 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $63 $64 +$1 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $62 $62 +$1 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $15 $16 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Up 100¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+0%)
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 4, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 2, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +2%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +75%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 7AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$2 +767%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
BNB Up or Down - June 8, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +598%
Solana Up or Down - May 12, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 27, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 18, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $761 +$7 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $146 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $115 +$1 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $133 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $606 +$6 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $320 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $2,285 +$19 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $88 +$1 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $484 +$4 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $189 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $17 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $272 +$2 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $163 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $304 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $270 +$2 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $63 +$1 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $434 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2,281 +$19 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $229 $0 -0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $21 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $303 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $273 +$2 +1%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 97% +$1,667
other 3% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $742 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $3 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $16 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $146 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $48 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $82 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $79 11m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $36 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $15 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $35 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $495 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $12 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 21m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $133 22m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $88 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $81 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $63 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $20 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1048 +2.4% -7.3% 99% 1% -9.0%
≤30d 1048 +2.4% -7.3% 99% 1% -9.0%
≤90d 1048 +2.4% -7.3% 99% 1% -9.0%
all 1048 +2.4% -7.3% 99% 1% -9.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1329.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 1% -9.0%
10% ← realistic here -16.2% 1% -17.7%
15% -24.3% 1% -25.7%
20% -31.7% 1% -32.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $780.63 · official $770.88 · 3500 history records