trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -0.6% | -10.1% | 0% | 0% | -10.1% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 40% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 23 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 61% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.4% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.1% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.0% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 96¢ | $41 | $42 | +$1 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 23 | $45 | −$1 | -1% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? | Jun 23 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 14 | $34 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30? | Jun 14 | $3 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 13 | $36 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 13 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 10 | $18 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30? | Jun 09 | $41 | −$1 | -1% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 08 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Minnesota Twins win the 2025 World Series? | Dec 11 | $12 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Houston Astros win the 2025 World Series? | Jun 26 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Liberal Party win the Canadian election by 9-12%? | Jun 24 | $22 | $0 | +0% |
| Will MrBeast buy TikTok before July? | Apr 18 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 17 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Masters? | Apr 15 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Apr 13 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | Apr 13 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Liverpool wins the Premier League? | Apr 10 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the number of federal employees decrease by 25,000-50,000 between | Apr 08 | $7 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Apr 02 | $3 | $0 | -7% |
| Will the New York Rangers win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 24 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Carmelo Anthony make the 2025 Class of the Naismith Basketball Ha | Mar 20 | $15 | $0 | +1% |