Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T17:06:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x224a…9a27
crypto · 981 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$451 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$451 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Net worth$16
Realized−$451
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses712 / 269
Open positions0
Markets (closed)981 / 981
History coverage35d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day43.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 981 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$76
7 days+$27
14 days−$16
30 days−$450
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Down 64¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+88%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Up 44¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+127%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 46¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+117%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 82¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+22%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Up 69¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+44%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Up 71¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+41%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 77¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+30%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 75¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+33%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+45%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+43%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Up 81¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+23%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 84¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+19%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 85¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 65¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+54%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Up 88¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+14%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+20%)
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Up 94¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+6%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 92¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+9%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$5 -31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +24%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$13 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$8 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$5 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$6 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$12 -78%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$10 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$12 -81%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$2 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$3 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$2 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$7 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$9 -61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$4 +25%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $15 +$1 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$451
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $15 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $15 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $15 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $15 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $13 8h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $3 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $15 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $15 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $15 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $15 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $15 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 778 -3.1% -12.3% 80% 41% -3.3%
≤30d 980 -4.8% -13.9% 73% 41% -6.5%
≤90d 981 -4.8% -13.9% 73% 40% -6.6%
all 981 -4.8% -13.9% 73% 40% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover43.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.9% 40% -6.6%
10% ← realistic here -22.1% 24% -15.5%
15% -29.6% 16% -23.7%
20% -36.5% 10% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.61 · official $0.00 · 2296 history records