trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -45.3% | -50.6% | 25% | 25% | -61.0% |
| ≤30d | 4 | -45.3% | -50.6% | 25% | 25% | -61.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -45.3% | -50.6% | 25% | 25% | -61.0% |
| all | 4 | -45.3% | -50.6% | 25% | 25% | -61.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -50.6% | 25% | -61.0% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -55.3% | 25% | -64.7% |
| 15% | -59.6% | 25% | -68.1% |
| 20% | -63.6% | 25% | -71.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 27¢ | 27¢ | $2,822 | $2,834 | +$11 (+0%) |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Yes | 4¢ | 7¢ | $17 | $28 | +$11 (+63%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 47¢ | 34¢ | $13 | $9 | −$3 (-27%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult J.D. Vance by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $11 | $7 | −$4 (-40%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $5 | $5 | −$1 (-11%) |
| Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $4 | $2 | −$2 (-56%) |
| Will any U.S. House member enter Iran by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $1 | −$2 (-73%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Athletics vs. San Francisco Giants | Jun 26 | $46 | +$54 | +119% |
| Seattle Mariners vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 25 | $88 | −$87 | -99% |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Tampa Bay Rays | Jun 25 | $89 | −$88 | -98% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $16 | −$11 | -67% |