Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:32:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x222b…1a8d
sports · 23 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,907 -13%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$6,879 · open −$19
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$1,094
Realized−$6,879
Unrealized−$19
Win rate (resolved)8%
Wins / losses9 / 101
Whale WR (big bets)33%
Est. fees paid−$782
Open positions14
Markets (closed)110 / 23
Avg bet$2,272
Trades / day3481.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit91%
Chart Positions 14 History 110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,879
7 days−$6,879
14 days−$6,879
30 days−$6,879
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Boston Red Sox 57¢ 44¢ $314 $240 −$74 (-24%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Nuno Borges 81¢ 81¢ $166 $167 +$2 (+1%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 66¢ 68¢ $107 $110 +$3 (+3%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Texas Rangers 100¢ 100¢ $84 $84 +$0 (+0%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Marcos Giron 51¢ 58¢ $55 $62 +$8 (+14%)
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jacob Fearnley 68¢ 62¢ $56 $51 −$4 (-8%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Sorana Cirstea 49¢ 50¢ $44 $44 +$0 (+0%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Tampa Bay Rays 43¢ 56¢ $31 $41 +$10 (+31%)
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Flavio Cobolli 65¢ 50¢ $52 $40 −$12 (-23%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees Boston Red Sox 41¢ 48¢ $28 $34 +$5 (+18%)
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Katie Boulter 77¢ 100¢ $24 $31 +$7 (+30%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds St. Louis Cardinals 43¢ 40¢ $27 $26 −$1 (-5%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 68¢ $19 $26 +$7 (+38%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds Cincinnati Reds 56¢ 60¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+7%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 57¢ 52¢ $19 $17 −$2 (-8%)
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Ben Shelton 41¢ 42¢ $14 $14 +$0 (+1%)
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Emma Raducanu 50¢ 50¢ $11 $12 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Ajla Tomljanovic 34¢ 32¢ $12 $11 −$1 (-7%)
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Daniil Medvedev 51¢ 50¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 48¢ 32¢ $14 $10 −$5 (-33%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva Alexander Shevchenko 70¢ 82¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+17%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 54¢ 55¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+1%)
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Adrian Mannarino 85¢ 98¢ $5 $6 +$1 (+16%)
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Marin Cilic 19¢ 18¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-5%)
ITF Kayseri: Laurence Teunissen vs Haydar Cem Gokpinar Haydar Cem Gokpinar 58¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+72%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 12 $84 +$250 +298%
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Flavio Cobolli Jun 12 $52 −$12 -23%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Tomas Machac vs Daniil Medvedev Jun 12 $10 $0 -2%
Heilbronn: Luka Mikrut vs Emilio Nava Jun 12 $4 $0 +0%
Roland Garros, Qualification ATP: Jan Choinski vs Pierre-Hugues Herber Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Will CA Barracas Central win on 2026-05-27? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $17 −$20 -120%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $8 −$44 -554%
Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-05-24? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Prostejov: Genaro Alberto Olivieri vs Lautaro Midon Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Will Al Hazem SC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $9 −$12 -137%
Will Gwangju FC vs. Gangwon FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $48 −$64 -134%
Valorant: CGN Esports vs RIZON (BO3) - VCL DACH: Evolution Playoffs Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Aarhus GF win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Cordoba: Thiago Cigarran vs Gonzalo Villanueva Jun 12 $14 −$21 -147%
LoL: JD Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $4 −$15 -350%
Valorant: REBORN vs Joblife (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Playoffs Jun 12 $7 −$7 -99%
Will Sønderjyske Fodbold win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $1 −$2 -210%
Libema Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Sara Bejlek Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -129%
Will FC Groningen vs. NEC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challe Jun 12 $9 −$4 -49%
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad Jun 12 $2,385 −$2,385 -100%
Will Hull City AFC vs. Millwall FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $31 −$58 -184%
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier A: France vs Switzerland Jun 12 $3 −$32 -989%
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-05-14? Jun 12 $132 −$293 -222%
Will SBV Excelsior vs. FC Volendam end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$6 -168%
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: ZeroZone Gaming vs Dream Esports (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $1 −$2 -141%
Will Kocaelispor win on 2026-05-09? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Incheon United FC win on 2026-05-16? Jun 12 $0 −$1 -218%
Will CD Mirandés vs. Granada CF end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Tianjin Jinmen Hu FC win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Jun 12 $13 −$13 -102%
Will Alanyaspor vs. Kayserispor end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will PEC Zwolle win on 2026-05-10? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 12 $1 −$1 -150%
Valorant: FunPlus Phoenix vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - China Evolution Se Jun 12 $8 −$8 -106%
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs RED Canids (BO3) - Esports World Cup South Ame Jun 12 $0 $0 -125%
Will FC København win on 2026-05-17? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Vitória SC win on 2026-05-11? Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Will Jeju SK FC win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $2 −$3 -130%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Andrey Rublev vs Nikoloz Basilashvili Jun 12 $184 −$184 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Alexei Popyrin Jun 12 $1 −$1 -116%
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-05-31? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -145%
Will New York Red Bulls vs. New York City FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $50 −$72 -146%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 12 $9 −$21 -229%
Will SC Braga vs. CF Estrela da Amadora end in a draw? Jun 12 $135 −$207 -153%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 65% +$313
other 35% −$2,148
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 2¢ $0 0m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 3¢ $0 0m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 4¢ $0 0m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 7¢ $0 2m
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu BUY Sorana Cirstea 47¢ $2 2m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 8¢ $0 3m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 10¢ $0 5m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 7¢ $0 6m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 8¢ $0 8m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 8¢ $0 9m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 9¢ $0 10m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 9¢ $0 10m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Maxim Mrva 18¢ $1 12m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 22¢ $1 14m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 25¢ $0 15m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 23¢ $1 15m
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter SELL Jaqueline Cristian 1¢ $0 16m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 26¢ $1 16m
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter BUY Jaqueline Cristian 2¢ $0 16m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 21¢ $1 17m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 18¢ $1 17m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 22¢ $1 17m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 20¢ $0 18m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 2¢ $0 18m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva BUY Maxim Mrva 19¢ $1 19m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Zhizhen Zhang 3¢ $0 19m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 4¢ $0 19m
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Maxim Mrva SELL Alexander Shevchenko 80¢ $4 20m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino SELL Zhizhen Zhang 5¢ $0 20m
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 5¢ $0 20m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +4%
net ROI/market (all)-62.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 -58.6% -62.5% 8% 4% -19.9%
≤30d 110 -58.6% -62.5% 8% 4% -19.9%
≤90d 110 -58.6% -62.5% 8% 4% -19.9%
all 110 -58.6% -62.5% 8% 4% -19.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3481.0 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -62.5% 4% -19.9%
10% -66.1% 3% -27.6%
15% ← realistic here -69.4% 3% -34.6%
20% -72.4% 2% -41.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,094.21 · official $1,094.24 (match) · 3500 history records