trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 25% | 0% | -8.8% |
| ≤90d | 8 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 25% | 0% | -8.8% |
| all | 25 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 36% | 0% | -9.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.8% | 0% | -9.2% |
| 10% | -18.5% | 0% | -17.9% |
| 15% | -26.3% | 0% | -25.8% |
| 20% | -33.6% | 0% | -33.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 53¢ | 54¢ | $54 | $54 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 17 | $4 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 06 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $56 | +$3 | +6% |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | Jun 06 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | Jun 05 | $14 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 03 | $10 | −$1 | -5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | Jun 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before July? | Dec 15 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will the candidate from the New Reform Party win the South Korean Pres | Jun 07 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Novak Djokovic win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 05 | $27 | −$1 | -2% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be named in Epstein files? | Jun 04 | $27 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jack Draper win the 2025 French Open? | Jun 03 | $26 | +$1 | +4% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jun-seok win between 2% and 5% of the vote in the South Korea | Jun 01 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| No Trump announcement of next Fed Chair by June 30? | Jun 01 | $4 | −$1 | -17% |
| Israel military action against Iran before June? | Jun 01 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will The Fantastic Four: First Steps be the top grossing movie of 2025 | May 31 | $24 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ashwin Adhin be the next president of Suriname after the election | May 30 | $23 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Andrey Rublev win the 2025 French Open? | May 30 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people? | May 29 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Gonzalo Winter win the Chilean presidential election? | May 28 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $85k in May? | May 27 | $27 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Tampa Bay Rays win the 2025 World Series? | May 24 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Lee Jae-myung win less than 35% of the vote in the South Korea el | May 24 | $27 | $0 | -0% |