Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T20:23:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

22
0x2217…1660
sports · 144 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,501 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,176 · open −$325
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$4,045
Realized−$2,176
Unrealized−$325
Win rate (resolved)51%
Wins / losses63 / 60
Whale WR (big bets)41%
Est. fees paid−$256
Open positions21
Markets (closed)123 / 144
History coverage76d
Avg bet$269
Trades / day9.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit72%
Chart Positions 21 History 123 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,110
7 days−$2,363
14 days−$2,598
30 days−$2,308
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Qatar 2 - 3 Switzerland? No 98¢ 100¢ $990 $1,008 +$18 (+2%)
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? No 99¢ 99¢ $700 $699 −$1 (-0%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 87¢ 68¢ $552 $430 −$122 (-22%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 23¢ 28¢ $298 $366 +$68 (+23%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 18¢ 20¢ $195 $218 +$23 (+12%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 3 Morocco? No 98¢ 99¢ $202 $203 +$1 (+0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 13¢ 18¢ $144 $190 +$46 (+32%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? No 81¢ 80¢ $190 $187 −$4 (-2%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? No 85¢ 82¢ $159 $155 −$4 (-2%)
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes 70¢ 72¢ $132 $135 +$3 (+2%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Chicago White Sox 49¢ 52¢ $100 $106 +$6 (+6%)
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes 48¢ 49¢ $95 $98 +$3 (+3%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? No 77¢ 72¢ $105 $97 −$8 (-7%)
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes 25¢ 32¢ $50 $65 +$15 (+30%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $41 $33 −$7 (-18%)
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $13 $12 −$1 (-5%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 7¢ 4¢ $17 $11 −$7 (-38%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $11 $9 −$2 (-16%)
Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 58¢ 52¢ $9 $8 −$1 (-11%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 46¢ 48¢ $7 $7 +$0 (+4%)
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Türkiye? Yes 14¢ 14¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Yes 22¢ 20¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-9%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 36¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 0 Switzerland? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-98%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $2,299 +$487 +21%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $51 +$24 +48%
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? Jun 13 $313 +$3 +1%
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 13 $1,173 −$986 -84%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $1,552 −$460 -30%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $264 −$20 -7%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 13 $13 −$12 -97%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 2 Paraguay? Jun 13 $921 +$23 +2%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $49 −$7 -14%
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? Jun 13 $33 +$5 +14%
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? Jun 13 $18 −$18 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $595 +$1,207 +203%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $556 −$324 -58%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $779 −$105 -14%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $443 +$66 +15%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $853 −$839 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $184 +$20 +11%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $162 +$184 +114%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $1,147 −$318 -28%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $244 +$30 +12%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $301 −$299 -99%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $442 +$139 +31%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 12 $248 +$38 +15%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $146 −$101 -69%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $729 +$89 +12%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $1,257 +$212 +17%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $42 −$41 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $105 −$103 -98%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $41 +$23 +57%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $24 −$23 -97%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $31 +$8 +27%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $50 +$3 +6%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $37 −$36 -98%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $131 +$73 +56%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major S Jun 11 $155 −$11 -7%
Will Kyrgyz Republic vs. Palestine end in a draw? Jun 08 $392 −$148 -38%
Will Kyrgyz Republic win on 2026-06-09? Jun 08 $200 +$4 +2%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $356 −$85 -24%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $42 −$31 -74%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 08 $532 +$65 +12%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $2,073 −$106 -5%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $174 +$195 +112%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $418 +$34 +8%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $51 −$51 -100%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $290 −$288 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $1,213 −$929 -77%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $10 +$1 +6%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 06 $194 +$49 +25%
Dota 2: Aurora vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $231 −$228 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 74% −$1,586
other 25% −$1,144
crypto 2% +$230
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? SELL Yes 18¢ $53 0m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY No 81¢ $192 1m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 60¢ $12 1m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 6¢ $3 3m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 60¢ $5 3m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 31¢ $3 4m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 30¢ $86 5m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 30¢ $2 6m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? BUY Yes 24¢ $81 8m
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 3 Morocco? BUY No 99¢ $700 8m
Exact Score: Brazil 2 - 1 Morocco? BUY Yes 11¢ $13 12m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 30¢ $17 12m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 30¢ $25 12m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 5¢ $2 13m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 5¢ $5 16m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 30¢ $25 16m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 19¢ $12 20m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 6¢ $5 21m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 19¢ $1 21m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 82¢ $72 23m
Exact Score: Any Other Score? BUY Yes 22¢ $2 23m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 67¢ $13 24m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 71¢ $65 25m
Exact Score: Qatar 1 - 2 Switzerland? BUY Yes 7¢ $6 27m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY Yes 19¢ $4 28m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 85¢ $21 30m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 2 Switzerland? BUY No 74¢ $36 32m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 83¢ $36 34m
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 1 Switzerland? BUY No 87¢ $67 34m
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 89¢ $43 37m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-23.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 49 -14.6% -22.8% 49% 39% -20.1%
≤30d 120 -16.5% -24.4% 51% 38% -16.0%
≤90d 123 -14.9% -23.0% 51% 37% -15.6%
all 123 -14.9% -23.0% 51% 37% -15.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.8 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -23.0% 37% -15.6%
10% -30.4% 24% -23.7%
15% -37.1% 15% -31.1%
20% -43.3% 9% -37.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $4,045.10 · official $4,045.23 (match) · 870 history records