trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤30d | 11 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 95% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 21 | -2.3% | -11.6% | 90% | 0% | -9.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -11.6% | 0% | -9.4% |
| 10% | -20.1% | 0% | -18.1% |
| 15% | -27.8% | 0% | -26.0% |
| 20% | -34.9% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 20? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $499 | $499 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 19? | Yes | 100¢ | 100¢ | $421 | $423 | +$2 (+0%) |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $359 | $359 | +$1 (+0%) |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by June 30? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $58 | $58 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 17? | Jun 17 | $4,702 | +$5 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 16? | Jun 16 | $3,412 | +$3 | +0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 15? | Jun 16 | $200 | $0 | +0% |
| JD Vance out as VP by June 15? | Jun 16 | $66 | $0 | +0% |
| Starmer out by June 15, 2026? | Jun 16 | $1,029 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $3,409 | +$3 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $56,000 on June 14? | Jun 14 | $2,007 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $52,000 on June 14? | Jun 14 | $1,998 | +$2 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? | Jun 12 | $500 | $0 | +0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 10 | $110 | +$1 | +1% |
| Trump out as President by May 31? | Jun 06 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Starmer out by May 15, 2026? | May 18 | $251 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit North Korea by April 30? | May 15 | $250 | +$1 | +0% |
| Will either Tate brother be arrested by March 31? | Apr 19 | $109 | −$3 | -3% |
| New "Stranger Things" episode released by March 31? | Apr 19 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will QFEX launch a token by March 31, 2026? | Apr 19 | $16 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Apr 19 | $20 | $0 | +0% |
| X banned in U.K. by March 31? | Apr 19 | $103 | $0 | +0% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on Febru | Mar 21 | $25 | +$1 | +2% |
| Rainbow FDV above $70M one day after launch? | Feb 12 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Feb 06 | $1 | −$1 | -55% |