trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 27 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 41% | 41% | -24.6% |
| ≤30d | 27 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 41% | 41% | -24.6% |
| ≤90d | 27 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 41% | 41% | -24.6% |
| all | 27 | -26.5% | -33.5% | 41% | 41% | -24.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.5% | 41% | -24.6% |
| 10% | -39.8% | 41% | -31.8% |
| 15% | -45.6% | 37% | -38.4% |
| 20% | -51.0% | 26% | -44.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump say “Thank You” 5+ times during UFC 250? | Yes | 1¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $2 | +$1 (+83%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on June 18? | Yes | 28¢ | 28¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 17? | Yes | 3¢ | 2¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-24%) |
| Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 63°F or below on June 17? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-33%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | No | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.5T by June 30? | Yes | 18¢ | 6¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-64%) |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | No | 19¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-99%) |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 16? | Yes | 36¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +39% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 22°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +112% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +66% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$2 | +177% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | +$2 | +105% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +37% |
| Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +137% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$1 | +61% |
| Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 16? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Fight to Go the Distance? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$1 | +50% |
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by June 30? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Alex Pereira win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Josh Hokit win by KO or TKO? | Jun 15 | $4 | +$3 | +67% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 12°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 16? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |