Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:12:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x21f7…4c3a
sports · 440 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$225 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$225 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$16
Realized−$225
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses284 / 153
Est. fees paid−$47
Open positions3
Markets (closed)437 / 440
History coverage48d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day27.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 437 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$44
7 days−$4
14 days−$21
30 days−$134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? Yes 82¢ 81¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-0%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Knicks 36¢ 36¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Atlanta Braves 53¢ 45¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-15%)
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins Atlanta Braves 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Kimberly Birrell Kimberly Birrell 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 12¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Magic vs. Pistons Magic 27¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Cattolica: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Ilia Simakin Ilia Simakin 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Felix Auger-Aliassime 0¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins Chicago White Sox 54¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox Baltimore Orioles 43¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Timberwolves vs. Spurs Spurs 86¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Dalma Galfi vs Mayar Sherif Dalma Galfi 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hamburg European Open: Hugo Gaston vs Karen Khachanov Hugo Gaston 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Bianca Andreescu vs Elise Mertens Bianca Andreescu 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies San Diego Padres 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks Colorado Rockies 24¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Rays Tampa Bay Rays 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Thunder vs. Spurs Thunder 41¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Vicenza: Jacopo Vasami vs Tommaso Compagnucci Tommaso Compagnucci 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewers St. Louis Cardinals 10¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Jun 12 $1 $0 +19%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 12 $5 +$1 +26%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $99 +$2 +2%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $1 $0 +27%
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 12 $5 +$1 +14%
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena Jun 12 $24 +$1 +2%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $5 +$1 +29%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Thijs Boogaard Jun 12 $58 −$16 -28%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $2 $0 +21%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $15 $0 +3%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Marco Cecchinato Jun 12 $20 $0 -0%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 12 $10 +$1 +15%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 11 $11 −$5 -45%
Lyon: Thomas Faurel vs Clement Tabur Jun 11 $7 $0 +5%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $7 −$2 -27%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenko Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 11 $1 $0 +48%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $16 +$1 +5%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Joao Lucas Da Silva Jun 11 $10 $0 +2%
Stuttgart Open: Rinky Hijikata vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 11 $10 +$2 +21%
Libema Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs James McCabe Jun 11 $10 $0 +4%
Libema Open: Magda Linette vs Mia Pohankova Jun 11 $29 $0 +1%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $2 +$2 +83%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $39 −$39 -100%
Cattolica: Alexander Vasilev vs Andrea Guerrieri Jun 10 $1 $0 +48%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Charles Broom Jun 10 $10 $0 +2%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $1 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Tereza Martincova vs Katie Swan Jun 10 $31 +$1 +4%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Jun 10 $21 +$2 +11%
Tucuman: Nicolas Villalon vs Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Jun 10 $1 $0 +6%
Ilkley: Iryna Shymanovich vs Lanlana Tararudee Jun 10 $1 $0 +19%
Ilkley: Felix Gill vs Filippo Romano Jun 10 $15 +$2 +13%
Ilkley: Yunchaokete Bu vs Chris Rodesch Jun 10 $1 $0 +21%
Tucuman: Julian Cundom vs Andrea Collarini Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $2 $0 +7%
HSBC Championships: Laura Siegemund vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 10 $35 +$3 +8%
Libema Open: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Ajla Tomljanovic Jun 10 $25 +$1 +2%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 10 $21 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Lois Boisson vs Solana Sierra Jun 10 $5 $0 +2%
Libema Open: Anastasia Potapova vs Suzan Lamens Jun 10 $25 −$10 -39%
Libema Open: Thijs Boogaard vs Yibing Wu Jun 10 $30 +$2 +6%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Alexandra Eala Jun 10 $50 +$3 +5%
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Jun 10 $1 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$198
crypto 2% −$28
world 0% $0
politics 0% $0
other 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves SELL Carolina Alves 87¢ $1 8m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Knicks 36¢ $5 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 82¢ $10 1h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? SELL Yes 81¢ $30 1h
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves BUY Carolina Alves 72¢ $1 1h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson SELL Laura Samson 100¢ $6 1h
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson BUY Laura Samson 86¢ $5 2h
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Thiago Cigarran BUY Guido Justo 96¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet SELL Oliver Tarvet 98¢ $5 4h
Ilkley: Tristan Schoolkate vs Oliver Tarvet BUY Oliver Tarvet 95¢ $5 4h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz SELL Taylor Fritz 99¢ $1 4h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 77¢ $1 4h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez SELL Johan Alexander Rodriguez 100¢ $6 4h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe SELL Jiri Lehecka 99¢ $1 4h
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? BUY Yes 81¢ $30 5h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 85¢ $4 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 87¢ $40 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 72¢ $12 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 62¢ $30 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova SELL Iva Jovic 72¢ $32 5h
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe BUY Jiri Lehecka 79¢ $1 5h
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Johan Alexander Rodriguez 61¢ $1 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 87¢ $45 5h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Keegan Smith 68¢ $1 5h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee SELL Harmony Tan 99¢ $6 5h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 100¢ $5 5h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 57¢ $5 6h
Ilkley: Harmony Tan vs Lanlana Tararudee BUY Harmony Tan 86¢ $5 6h
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley SELL Keegan Smith 37¢ $0 6h
Cattolica: Raul Brancaccio vs Roberto Carballes Baena SELL Roberto Carballes Baena 93¢ $19 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-12.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 128 +6.3% -3.8% 79% 34% -9.8%
≤30d 384 -0.2% -9.7% 67% 32% -11.3%
≤90d 437 -3.2% -12.4% 65% 32% -12.4%
all 437 -3.2% -12.4% 65% 32% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.4% 32% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 21% -20.8%
15% -28.4% 16% -28.4%
20% -35.4% 11% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $15.77 · official $15.77 (match) · 1388 history records