Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:08:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x21da…9c85
crypto · 311 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$59 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$59 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$59
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses139 / 172
Open positions0
Markets (closed)311 / 311
History coverage47d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day8.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 311 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$22
7 days+$8
14 days−$72
30 days−$78
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 32¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$5 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$2 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +140%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$3 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$54
other 1% −$5
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $4 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-20.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -0.7% -10.1% 51% 51% -8.3%
≤30d 240 -17.6% -25.5% 42% 42% -20.6%
≤90d 311 -12.2% -20.6% 45% 41% -16.1%
all 311 -12.2% -20.6% 45% 41% -16.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.2 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -20.6% 41% -16.1%
10% -28.2% 40% -24.2%
15% -35.1% 38% -31.5%
20% -41.5% 37% -38.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 545 history records