Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:00:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x21cf…93b3
crypto · 1787 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$145 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$145 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$145
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses936 / 720
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1656 / 1787
History coverage33d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day78.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1656 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16
7 days−$7
14 days−$69
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 11 $31 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $20 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $32 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 11 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 11 $31 +$3 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$126
sports 0% −$16
politics 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $5 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $5 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $4 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $20 24h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-7.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 315 +37.6% +24.5% 63% 37% -9.1%
≤30d 1640 +2.5% -7.2% 57% 47% -10.6%
≤90d 1656 +2.2% -7.6% 57% 47% -11.2%
all 1656 +2.2% -7.6% 57% 47% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover78.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.6% 47% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -16.4% 41% -19.7%
15% -24.5% 27% -27.5%
20% -31.9% 14% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3363 history records