Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:20:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x21c5…3533
crypto · 764 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$25,270 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24,702 · open +$563
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$73,759
Realized+$24,702
Unrealized+$563
Win rate (resolved)93%
Wins / losses644 / 48
Whale WR (big bets)100%
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions72
Markets (closed)692 / 764
Avg bet$1,092
Trades / day38.1
Drawdown5%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 72 History 692 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$176
7 days+$550
14 days+$3,197
30 days+$5,764
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $10,262 $10,432 +$170 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin reach $92,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $9,830 $9,945 +$115 (+1%)
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 100¢ 100¢ $4,985 $4,982 −$2 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in June? No 99¢ 99¢ $4,938 $4,972 +$35 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $4,903 $4,970 +$67 (+1%)
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting? Yes 99¢ 99¢ $4,965 $4,962 −$2 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in June? No 98¢ 99¢ $3,934 $3,942 +$8 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in June? No 97¢ 98¢ $1,946 $1,963 +$17 (+1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,491 $1,498 +$6 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 June 8-14? No 97¢ 99¢ $1,457 $1,485 +$28 (+2%)
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No 97¢ 97¢ $1,454 $1,457 +$3 (+0%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $175 in June? No 99¢ 100¢ $1,237 $1,246 +$9 (+1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? No 99¢ 99¢ $1,238 $1,232 −$6 (-1%)
Will Bitcoin reach $72,000 June 8-14? No 98¢ 100¢ $1,083 $1,097 +$13 (+1%)
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in June? No 98¢ 100¢ $983 $995 +$12 (+1%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T? Yes 98¢ 99¢ $984 $993 +$9 (+1%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $992 $992 −$0 (-0%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $990 $990 −$0 (-0%)
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $989 $988 −$0 (-0%)
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $987 $986 −$0 (-0%)
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? No 99¢ 99¢ $986 $986 −$0 (-0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $47,500 in June? No 97¢ 97¢ $969 $970 +$0 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 94¢ 94¢ $945 $940 −$4 (-0%)
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No 92¢ 94¢ $917 $938 +$21 (+2%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 June 8-14? No 99¢ 100¢ $743 $747 +$4 (+1%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $395 +$5 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 12 $45 +$5 +12%
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? Jun 11 $9,920 +$54 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $116 +$4 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $241 +$9 +4%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $170 +$5 +3%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $498 +$2 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $2,493 +$7 +0%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $344 +$6 +2%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $27 −$27 -100%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $496 +$4 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $27 +$1 +3%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $595 +$5 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $884 +$16 +2%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $397 +$3 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $223 +$8 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $2,484 +$16 +1%
Will Bitcoin reach $63,000 on June 10? Jun 11 $246 +$4 +2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $19 +$6 +34%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $94 +$6 +6%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $196 +$4 +2%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $176 +$24 +14%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 10? Jun 10 $247 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $46 +$4 +9%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $236 +$14 +6%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $485 +$15 +3%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $20 +$5 +28%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $718 +$32 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $483 +$8 +2%
Will Bitcoin dip to $59,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $1,238 +$12 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 on June 9? Jun 10 $240 +$10 +4%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $137 +$13 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $19 +$6 +31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $283 −$27 -10%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $597 +$3 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $545 +$5 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 9? Jun 09 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $1,994 +$6 +0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $20 +$5 +25%
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $205 +$8 +4%
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $4 +$1 +37%
Will Bitcoin dip to $61,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $339 +$5 +1%
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 8? Jun 09 $710 +$5 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $19 +$6 +31%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,436 +$14 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $1,987 +$13 +1%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $138 +$12 +9%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $292 +$8 +3%
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $22 +$3 +16%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 8? Jun 08 $173 +$1 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 91% +$21,194
finance 5% +$3,873
tech 2% +$374
other 2% −$56
economics 1% $0
world 0% −$121
politics 0% +$21
sports 0% −$25
culture 0% +$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? BUY Yes 96¢ $192 15m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T? BUY Yes 99¢ $248 16m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? BUY Yes 96¢ $48 19m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T? BUY Yes 88¢ $44 19m
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 74¢ $19 19m
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 m BUY Yes 98¢ $172 43m
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meet BUY Yes 99¢ $4,967 49m
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 83¢ $42 58m
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $986 1h
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $4,985 1h
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $992 1h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $990 1h
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $987 1h
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 99¢ $989 1h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $246 1h
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $246 1h
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 95¢ $95 1h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 96¢ $96 1h
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $244 1h
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $245 1h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $245 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? BUY No 87¢ $42 1h
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 12? BUY Yes 87¢ $44 1h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $4,715 14h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $5 15h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $5 15h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $5 15h
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in June? SELL No 100¢ $260 15h
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on June 11? BUY No 99¢ $395 16h
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? BUY No 89¢ $45 16h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)-7.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 99 +0.6% -9.0% 93% 15% -8.6%
≤30d 364 +1.2% -8.4% 94% 16% -8.2%
≤90d 692 +2.4% -7.3% 93% 18% -6.6%
all 692 +2.4% -7.3% 93% 18% -6.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.1 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.3% 18% -6.6%
10% -16.2% 8% -15.5%
15% ← realistic here -24.3% 3% -23.7%
20% -31.7% 2% -31.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $73,758.75 · official $73,759.72 (match) · 3500 history records