trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 1 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 100% | 0% | -3.1% |
| ≤90d | 1 | +7.1% | -3.1% | 100% | 0% | -3.1% |
| all | 23 | -23.2% | -30.5% | 30% | 26% | -33.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -30.5% | 26% | -33.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -37.1% | 17% | -39.8% |
| 15% | -43.2% | 17% | -45.6% |
| 20% | -48.8% | 13% | -51.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 10¢ | $77,051 | $73,101 | −$3,950 (-5%) |
| Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 1¢ | $34,754 | $41,836 | +$7,082 (+20%) |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 86¢ | 92¢ | $188 | $202 | +$14 (+8%) |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 4¢ | 2¢ | $114 | $63 | −$51 (-45%) |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 76¢ | 76¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven | May 29 | $32,667 | +$2,333 | +7% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17? | Mar 14 | $221 | −$221 | -100% |
| LoL: Los Ratones vs G2 Esports (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 06 | $3,313 | −$3,236 | -98% |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Fnatic (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 02 | $700 | −$583 | -83% |
| LoL: Team Heretics vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Sea | Feb 01 | $332 | −$282 | -85% |
| LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX (BO1) - LEC Versus Regular Season | Feb 01 | $900 | −$900 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair? | Jan 30 | $9 | −$2 | -24% |
| Lakers vs. Bulls | Jan 30 | $2,663 | +$2,559 | +96% |
| Call of Duty: Riyadh Falcons vs Cloud9 New York (BO5) | Jan 26 | $1,639 | +$808 | +49% |
| Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-01-25? | Jan 25 | $1,186 | −$1,186 | -100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | Jan 21 | $1,295 | −$1,295 | -100% |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair? | Jan 21 | $177 | −$177 | -100% |
| Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-20? | Jan 21 | $1 | +$10 | +669% |
| Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwi | Jan 21 | $32 | +$6 | +18% |
| Pacers vs. Pistons | Jan 21 | $2,001 | +$410 | +20% |
| Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs ARCRED (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 G | Jan 21 | $440 | −$440 | -100% |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $1,420 | +$1,364 | +96% |
| Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. Pisa SC end in a draw? | Jan 17 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $14,061 | −$14,061 | -100% |
| Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 17 | $1,461 | −$1,461 | -100% |
| Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-18? | Jan 16 | $835 | −$835 | -100% |
| Will Torino FC win on 2026-01-18? | Jan 16 | $51 | −$51 | -100% |
| Will Burnley FC win on 2026-01-17? | Jan 16 | $79 | −$79 | -100% |