trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 12 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 33% | 25% | -54.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 33% | 25% | -54.9% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 33% | 25% | -54.9% |
| all | 12 | -25.5% | -32.6% | 33% | 25% | -54.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -32.6% | 25% | -54.9% |
| 10% | -39.1% | 25% | -59.2% |
| 15% | -45.0% | 25% | -63.2% |
| 20% | -50.4% | 25% | -66.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 51¢ | 50¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Yes | 61¢ | 62¢ | $2 | $2 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Spain leading at halftime? | Yes | 76¢ | 76¢ | $2 | $2 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will there be at least 2150 measles cases in the U.S. by June 30, 2026? | No | 58¢ | 62¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+6%) |
| Will "Obsession" 5th Weekend Box Office be greater than 19m? | Yes | 85¢ | 87¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 24¢ | 23¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Halle Open: Terence Atmane vs Martin Landaluce | Martin Landaluce | 68¢ | 66¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-2%) |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by June 30, 2026? | Yes | 15¢ | 14¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-10%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $2 | +$2 | +90% |
| Sweden to win the second half? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$2 | +105% |
| Will Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | +$3 | +291% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $4 | −$3 | -85% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $5 | $0 | +6% |
| Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro | Jun 13 | $21 | −$10 | -47% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |