trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | -0.4% | -9.9% | 0% | 0% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 12 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 12 | +0.1% | -9.4% | 33% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 32% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.7% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.4% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.2% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.5% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | Jun 20 | $41 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 19 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | Jun 18 | $23 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $49 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 07 | $19 | $0 | +2% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Jun 07 | $50 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 06 | $78 | $0 | +0% |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Jun 06 | $37 | $0 | +0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 05 | $41 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Jun 05 | $39 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? | Jun 04 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 04 | $38 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 24 | $9 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election? | Jun 26 | $6 | $0 | -2% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Dallas Stars win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | May 23 | $5 | $0 | -8% |
| Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2025 World Series? | May 18 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dan or Simion win the diaspora vote? | May 17 | $8 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2025? | May 17 | $8 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Charles Maung Bo be the next pope? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Lilo & Stitch be the top grossing movie of 2025? | Apr 19 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will 'Snow White' gross more than 49m on opening weekend? | Mar 22 | $11 | $0 | -1% |