trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -34.9% | -41.1% | 20% | 20% | -36.2% |
| ≤30d | 12 | -5.8% | -14.7% | 58% | 42% | -18.7% |
| ≤90d | 18 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 56% | 39% | -18.8% |
| all | 18 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 56% | 39% | -18.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.1% | 39% | -18.8% |
| 10% | -26.8% | 33% | -26.6% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 17% | -33.7% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 11% | -40.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? | Yes | 70¢ | 70¢ | $114 | $115 | +$1 (+1%) |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | No | 55¢ | 57¢ | $101 | $107 | +$5 (+5%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30? | Jun 17 | $88 | +$26 | +30% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | Jun 15 | $118 | −$107 | -91% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | Jun 15 | $180 | −$30 | -17% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $36 | −$28 | -77% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 13 | $148 | −$29 | -19% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 04 | $107 | +$41 | +38% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | Jun 04 | $7 | +$1 | +18% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026? | Jun 04 | $100 | +$9 | +9% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3? | Jun 03 | $93 | +$27 | +29% |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31? | Jun 01 | $6 | +$1 | +24% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31? | May 22 | $4 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 21 | $4 | −$1 | -14% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET | May 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026? | May 10 | $3 | +$2 | +71% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by April 30? | Apr 25 | $3 | +$2 | +57% |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 3? | Apr 04 | $3 | $0 | +4% |
| Russia military action against Kyiv municipality by April 10? | Apr 03 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Solana reach $80 on April 2? | Apr 03 | $6 | −$3 | -53% |