Wallet analysis

2026-06-30T00:51:57+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
21 0x2193…99f8 crypto 50 markets active 1h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (188 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! concentrated profit (few bets)
Total PnL +$323 (+7%) realized +$323 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +9% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -16% what you keep after slip
Net edge-16%after slip
Net WR44%break-even
Win rate46%23W / 27L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$94per market
Trades / day188.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$513
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (188 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-1.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 +8.7% -1.6% 46% 44% -19.5%
≤30d 50 +8.7% -1.6% 46% 44% -19.5%
≤90d 50 +8.7% -1.6% 46% 44% -19.5%
all 50 +8.7% -1.6% 46% 44% -19.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover188.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.6% 44% -19.5%
10% ← realistic here -11.1% 36% -27.2%
15% -19.6% 32% -34.3%
20% -27.5% 28% -40.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 37% · top 2 48% concentrated in a few bets
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -11% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +9% · $-wt -11% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +33% → late -16% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
3.7 add-ons/market averages down — deposit killer
Win / loss size
+$89 vs −$95 · ×0.94 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.8 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$323
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses23 / 27
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage1d
Avg bet$94
Trades / day188.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 30 $50 +$7 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 30 $51 +$28 +55%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 30 $213 −$200 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 30 $355 −$344 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 30 $144 +$84 +58%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 30 $185 +$122 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 29 $333 +$72 +22%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 29 $51 +$33 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 29 $299 −$283 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 29 $132 −$125 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 29 $85 −$81 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 29 $53 −$50 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 29 $129 −$42 -32%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 29 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$38 +146%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 29 $52 +$74 +142%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 29 $37 −$35 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 29 $166 −$144 -86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 29 $51 +$13 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 29 $55 +$16 +30%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$25 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $125 −$125 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $51 +$35 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 29 $156 +$224 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 29 $137 −$137 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 29 $25 +$3 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 29 $50 +$8 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 29 $152 −$152 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 29 $10 +$10 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 29 $130 +$184 +141%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET Jun 29 $25 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 29 $26 +$10 +41%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 29 $51 +$23 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 29 $128 +$79 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $5 +$40 +756%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 29 $27 +$184 +695%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 29 $236 +$750 +318%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 29 $52 −$52 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 29 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 29 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 29 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 29 $58 −$50 -85%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 29 $85 −$85 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 29 $138 −$138 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 29 $37 −$37 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 29 $130 −$90 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 29 $133 −$133 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 5¢ $53 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 9¢ $53 42m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 8¢ $53 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $53 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $50 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $51 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 14¢ $53 46m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $50 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $10 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $10 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $10 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $7 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $26 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $51 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $52 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $23 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 36¢ $52 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET SELL Up 56¢ $405 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 52m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $10 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $10 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $10 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $10 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 29, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $10 53m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 229 history records