trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤30d | 1 | +0.5% | -9.1% | 100% | 0% | -9.1% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.6% | -9.0% | 100% | 0% | -9.0% |
| all | 19 | +26.8% | +14.7% | 74% | 53% | +44.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +14.7% | 53% | +44.8% |
| 10% | +3.7% | 53% | +31.0% |
| 15% | -6.3% | 47% | +18.3% |
| 20% | -15.5% | 42% | +6.7% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 69¢ | 68¢ | $276 | $274 | −$2 (-1%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 50¢ | 79¢ | $150 | $238 | +$88 (+59%) |
| Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 25¢ | 26¢ | $100 | $102 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 50¢ | 21¢ | $150 | $62 | −$88 (-59%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | Jun 27 | $77 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k? | May 19 | $81 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 19? | Mar 03 | $49 | +$1 | +3% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting? | Feb 19 | $30 | $0 | +0% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jan 13 | $87 | −$87 | -100% |
| Rockets vs. Nuggets | Dec 21 | $612 | +$588 | +96% |
| Lakers vs. Clippers | Dec 21 | $1,880 | +$2,120 | +113% |
| Hornets vs. Pistons | Dec 21 | $4,698 | +$1,102 | +24% |
| Suns vs. Warriors | Dec 21 | $4,087 | +$2,013 | +49% |
| Magic vs. Jazz | Dec 21 | $270 | −$270 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Cavaliers | Dec 20 | $600 | +$1,400 | +233% |
| 76ers vs. Knicks | Dec 20 | $1,287 | +$2,013 | +156% |
| Hurricanes vs. Panthers | Dec 20 | $1,932 | +$2,268 | +117% |
| Dolphins vs. Steelers | Dec 19 | $682 | +$418 | +61% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Dec 19 | $2,750 | +$2,250 | +82% |
| Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights | Dec 03 | $29 | −$29 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Pelicans | Nov 26 | $1,271 | −$1,271 | -100% |
| UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card) | Nov 15 | $216 | −$216 | -100% |
| LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winner | Nov 15 | $812 | +$588 | +72% |