Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:33:08+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x218f…17bc
crypto · 121 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$61 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$46 · open +$15
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$127
Realized+$46
Unrealized+$15
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses68 / 52
Open positions1
Markets (closed)120 / 121
Avg bet$84
Trades / day3380.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 120 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$46
7 days+$46
14 days+$46
30 days+$46
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 71¢ 57¢ $99 $80 −$19 (-19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 29¢ 42¢ $32 $47 +$15 (+48%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $83 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$11 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $223 −$33 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $119 +$1 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $299 +$31 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $162 +$28 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $143 −$23 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $125 −$5 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $46 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $43 −$13 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $16 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $94 +$16 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $159 −$14 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $40 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $82 +$8 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $149 +$6 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $90 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $66 +$9 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$5 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $67 −$12 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $131 +$4 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $61 +$19 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $50 +$5 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $61 −$6 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $196 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $125 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $60 +$10 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $118 −$13 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $51 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $85 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $78 −$13 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $75 −$20 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $105 −$5 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $124 −$9 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $46 +$4 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$5 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $84 −$9 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 12 $21 −$1 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $69 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$7 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $33 +$2 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $57 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 12 $108 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $110 −$15 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $113 −$8 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $81 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$15 -12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$61
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $5 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 40¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $9 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $2 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $8 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)+6.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 120 +17.9% +6.7% 57% 21% -9.6%
≤30d 120 +17.9% +6.7% 57% 21% -9.6%
≤90d 120 +17.9% +6.7% 57% 21% -9.6%
all 120 +17.9% +6.7% 57% 21% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3380.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +6.7% 21% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -3.5% 5% -18.3%
15% -12.8% 2% -26.2%
20% -21.4% 1% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $127.25 · official $132.05 · 3500 history records