trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +25.3% | +13.4% | 50% | 50% | +4.6% |
| ≤30d | 20 | -26.7% | -33.7% | 40% | 40% | -19.1% |
| ≤90d | 22 | -26.8% | -33.8% | 41% | 41% | -95.9% |
| all | 22 | -26.8% | -33.8% | 41% | 41% | -95.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -33.8% | 41% | -95.9% |
| 10% | -40.1% | 41% | -96.3% |
| 15% | -45.9% | 41% | -96.6% |
| 20% | -51.2% | 18% | -97.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $70 | $71 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Kansas City Royals vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 | Under | 58¢ | 58¢ | $5 | $5 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Philadelphia Phillies (-2.5) | Jun 16 | $3 | +$6 | +172% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 13 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5 | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -99% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 | Jun 11 | $3 | +$4 | +129% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5 | Jun 09 | $3 | +$1 | +42% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 221.5 | Jun 03 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 10.5 | Jun 02 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Miami Marlins vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 10.5 | Jun 02 | $5 | +$3 | +49% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 | May 31 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5 | May 30 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 | May 30 | $5 | +$3 | +49% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5 | May 28 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5 | May 27 | $5 | +$3 | +72% |
| Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5 | May 27 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 207.5 | May 26 | $5 | +$2 | +38% |
| Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 228.5 | May 24 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5 | May 24 | $3 | +$4 | +114% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5 | May 21 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5 | May 19 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Cincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 11.5 | May 18 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Spread: Arizona Diamondbacks (-3.5) | May 16 | $3 | +$2 | +44% |
| Spread: Spurs (-16.5) | Mar 25 | $1,344 | −$1,344 | -100% |