Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:55:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x2188…5952
crypto · 66 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$24 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$24 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$24
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses22 / 44
Open positions0
Markets (closed)66 / 66
History coverage160d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day1.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 66 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$26
7 days−$26
14 days−$26
30 days−$26
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Tanzania win on 2026-01-04? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Yes 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 4? No 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$2 -58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$2 -28%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$4 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +34%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +25%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 11 $3 +$4 +113%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 11 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 −$1 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 11 $12 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 11 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 11 $4 +$2 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 11 $7 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 11 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $10 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Venom - Map 2 Winner Jan 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Tanzania win on 2026-01-04? Jan 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs Venom (BO3) Jan 04 $3 $0 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on January 4? Jan 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 580-599 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jan 04 $2 +$6 +301%
Will Elon Musk post 620-639 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jan 04 $1 +$2 +159%
Will Elon Musk post 600-619 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jan 04 $1 +$3 +261%
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026 Jan 04 $2 +$2 +164%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$27
other 9% +$4
sports 8% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 29¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET SELL Up 49¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 4¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 43¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 31¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 53¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 51¢ $3 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $3 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-28.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 42 -28.4% -35.2% 40% 31% -24.4%
≤30d 42 -28.4% -35.2% 40% 31% -24.4%
≤90d 42 -28.4% -35.2% 40% 31% -24.4%
all 66 -21.2% -28.7% 33% 26% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -28.7% 26% -21.1%
10% -35.5% 15% -28.6%
15% -41.7% 12% -35.5%
20% -47.5% 11% -41.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 188 history records