trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 13 | +39.0% | +25.8% | 62% | 54% | +3.5% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +39.0% | +25.8% | 62% | 54% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 13 | +39.0% | +25.8% | 62% | 54% | +3.5% |
| all | 20 | +9.2% | -1.2% | 55% | 45% | -3.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -1.2% | 45% | -3.4% |
| 10% | -10.6% | 35% | -12.6% |
| 15% | -19.3% | 35% | -21.1% |
| 20% | -27.2% | 35% | -28.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 | Over | 49¢ | 50¢ | $90 | $91 | +$1 (+1%) |
| China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 90¢ | $60 | $63 | +$3 (+5%) |
| Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026? | Yes | 22¢ | 2¢ | $20 | $2 | −$18 (-92%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 15 | $500 | +$15 | +3% |
| Netherlands vs. Japan: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $101 | +$80 | +79% |
| Germany vs. Curaçao: O/U 4.5 | Jun 14 | $102 | +$116 | +114% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $203 | +$148 | +73% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $51 | +$74 | +146% |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $20 | +$63 | +307% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | Jun 12 | $201 | +$44 | +22% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T? | Jun 12 | $103 | −$100 | -97% |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on | Jun 12 | $305 | −$13 | -4% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $132 | +$221 | +167% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 14? | Mar 16 | $300 | +$41 | +14% |
| Will Max Verstappen achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the | Mar 12 | $16 | −$16 | -100% |
| Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 11? | Mar 12 | $50 | +$4 | +8% |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | Mar 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Game Handicap: FLC (-1.5) vs Vici Gaming (+1.5) | Mar 11 | $50 | +$28 | +56% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by March 31? | Mar 10 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by March 13? | Mar 10 | $25 | −$25 | -100% |