Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x2177…eff5
crypto · 328 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$2,686 +28%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$2,686 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$2,686
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses99 / 229
Open positions0
Markets (closed)328 / 328
History coverage13d
Avg bet$29
Trades / day112.8
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 328 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$672
7 days+$2,414
14 days+$2,686
30 days+$2,686
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $81 +$48 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $99 +$172 +175%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $92 −$92 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $78 −$78 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $127 −$127 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $98 −$98 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$16 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 +$12 +47%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$31 +609%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$22 +529%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$35 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $80 −$80 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $56 −$30 -53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $40 +$178 +443%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $19 +$48 +250%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $24 −$24 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $89 +$140 +157%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$51 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $144 −$144 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$47 +134%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $34 −$34 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $51 +$33 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $145 −$47 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $68 −$68 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 13 $131 +$240 +184%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$164 +163%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$2,686
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $20 14m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $1 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 6¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 10¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $3 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 89¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $6 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $37 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $9 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $11 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $42 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $0 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $35 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $17 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $4 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 85¢ $2 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $21 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $40 47m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +29%
net ROI/market (all)-7.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 259 +8.1% -2.2% 34% 32% +14.6%
≤30d 328 +1.8% -7.9% 30% 29% +12.6%
≤90d 328 +1.8% -7.9% 30% 29% +12.6%
all 328 +1.8% -7.9% 30% 29% +12.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover112.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.9% 29% +12.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.7% 27% +1.8%
15% -24.7% 25% -8.0%
20% -32.1% 21% -17.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1791 history records