trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 9 | -23.5% | -30.8% | 44% | 44% | -28.3% |
| ≤30d | 9 | -23.5% | -30.8% | 44% | 44% | -28.3% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -31.1% | -37.7% | 40% | 40% | -49.4% |
| all | 15 | -54.1% | -58.5% | 27% | 27% | -51.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -58.5% | 27% | -51.1% |
| 10% | -62.4% | 27% | -55.8% |
| 15% | -66.1% | 27% | -60.0% |
| 20% | -69.4% | 27% | -63.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? | Yes | 73¢ | 90¢ | $306 | $378 | +$72 (+24%) |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 49¢ | 56¢ | $150 | $172 | +$22 (+14%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Norway 1st Half O/U 0.5 | Under | 51¢ | 50¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Côte d'Ivoire O/U 3.5 Corners | Under | 46¢ | 46¢ | $28 | $28 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Under | 42¢ | 52¢ | $20 | $25 | +$5 (+25%) |
| France vs. Sweden: O/U 3.5 | Under | 58¢ | 56¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5 | Over | 56¢ | 56¢ | $19 | $19 | +$0 (+1%) |
| France vs. Sweden: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Under | 58¢ | 56¢ | $20 | $19 | −$1 (-4%) |
| Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners | Over | 56¢ | 48¢ | $20 | $17 | −$3 (-13%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Africa vs. Canada: O/U 10.5 Total Corners | Jun 28 | $38 | +$23 | +60% |
| Games Total: O/U 3.5 | Jun 28 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Los Angeles Thieves (BO5) - Call of Duty | Jun 28 | $19 | +$13 | +67% |
| LoL: Deep Cross Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational | Jun 28 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5 Total Corners | Jun 28 | $35 | +$23 | +65% |
| Colombia vs. Portugal: Portugal O/U 1.5 | Jun 28 | $19 | +$19 | +97% |
| Jordan vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | Jun 28 | $38 | −$38 | -99% |
| DR Congo vs. Uzbekistan: Uzbekistan O/U 3.5 Corners | Jun 27 | $40 | −$39 | -99% |
| LoL: T1 vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner | Jun 27 | $21 | −$20 | -98% |
| Will Neymar play in the World Cup? | May 06 | $101 | −$100 | -99% |
| Will Juliano Floss be the next person eliminated from Big Brother Bras | Mar 25 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will Juliano Floss win Big Brother Brasil 26? | Feb 03 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will Jordana Morais win Big Brother Brasil 26? | Feb 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Sarah Andrade win Big Brother Brasil 26? | Feb 03 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Babu Santana win Big Brother Brasil 26? | Feb 03 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |