Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T15:28:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x214e…2ed7
crypto · 698 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$272 -8%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$258 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$34
Realized−$258
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)83%
Wins / losses574 / 118
Est. fees paid−$4
Open positions6
Markets (closed)692 / 698
History coverage8d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day151.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 6 History 692 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$256
14 days−$258
30 days−$258
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? No 97¢ 99¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+2%)
Game 3: Any Player Penta Kill? No 97¢ 72¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-25%)
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? No 84¢ 42¢ $10 $5 −$5 (-50%)
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? No 84¢ 36¢ $10 $4 −$6 (-58%)
Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill? No 89¢ 68¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-24%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Up 62¢ 74¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+19%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Game 2: Any Player Ultra Kill? No 83¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Up 84¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +185%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +128%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +187%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +53%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +58%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +185%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +120%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +59%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +166%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$3 +170%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 +$4 +272%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$4 +188%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +37%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$18 +346%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$137
other 8% −$34
sports 3% −$101
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 19¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 17¢ $1 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 29m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 91¢ $5 29m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 36m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $6 38m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 93¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Down 90¢ $4 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $2 42m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $2 43m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $5 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 51m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-14.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 682 -5.0% -14.1% 83% 21% -14.0%
≤30d 692 -5.2% -14.2% 83% 21% -14.1%
≤90d 692 -5.2% -14.2% 83% 21% -14.1%
all 692 -5.2% -14.2% 83% 21% -14.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover151.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.2% 21% -14.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.4% 3% -22.3%
15% -29.9% 2% -29.8%
20% -36.8% 2% -36.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $34.39 · official $34.13 (match) · 1363 history records