trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $100 | $5 | −$95 (-95%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 3.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | +$6 | +109% |
| United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $4 | $0 | -5% |
| Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 12 | $10 | +$25 | +246% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | +87.9% | +70.0% | 75% | 50% | +105.1% |
| ≤30d | 4 | +87.9% | +70.0% | 75% | 50% | +105.1% |
| ≤90d | 4 | +87.9% | +70.0% | 75% | 50% | +105.1% |
| all | 4 | +87.9% | +70.0% | 75% | 50% | +105.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +70.0% | 50% | +105.1% |
| 10% | +53.7% | 50% | +85.4% |
| 15% | +38.8% | 50% | +67.5% |
| 20% | +25.2% | 50% | +51.1% |