Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T01:58:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
21 0x2132…0f33 crypto 1661 markets active 5h ago coverage 70d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL −$11 (-0%) realized −$11 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -0% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -23% what you keep after slip
Net edge-23%after slip
Net WR0%break-even
Win rate98%1635W / 26L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day23.6pace
Kalshi-fit93%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days−$5
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 93% −$13
other 7% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-10.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 +0.4% -9.2% 100% 0% -9.2%
≤30d 365 -0.6% -10.1% 98% 0% -10.1%
≤90d 1661 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
all 1661 -0.5% -10.0% 98% 0% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover23.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.0% 0% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -18.6% 0% -18.6%
15% -26.5% 0% -26.5%
20% -33.7% 0% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 4% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
100% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -0% → late -1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.01 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.67 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

70d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1635 / 26
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1661 / 1661
History coverage70d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day23.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit93%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1661 Trades
no open positions (25 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET Jun 18 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 16 $2 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 16 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 15 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 09 $2 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 08 $2 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 7h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 7h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 1PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 8h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 9h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 9h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 11h
XRP Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
Solana Up or Down - June 17, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 13h
BNB Up or Down - June 17, 7AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 16h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 31h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $2 35h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $1 46h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3303 history records