Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:46+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x212e…4129
crypto · 719 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$129 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$129 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$129
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses431 / 288
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)719 / 719
History coverage224d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day6.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 0 History 719 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$32
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$57
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 85¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 24, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pakistan Super League: Rawalpindi Pindiz vs Karachi Kings Rawalpindi Pindiz 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 1, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Lucknow Super Giants - Who wins the toss? Punjab Kings 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - March 29, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 10, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Up 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 28, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 11, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 29, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 70¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 29, 3AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
T20 Series South Africa vs. India, Women: South Africa vs India India 70¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss? Chennai Super Kings 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indians Mumbai Indians 30¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - November 30, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - March 21, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - December 13, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 26, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 24, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Pakistan Super League: Karachi Kings vs Islamabad United Karachi Kings 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$3 -32%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -76%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +26%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $12 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 -9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$1 -14%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +6%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -56%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $20 −$3 -13%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -31%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$3 -67%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +11%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$3 -43%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +22%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$72
sports 15% −$43
other 1% −$10
politics 0% −$5
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Down 52¢ $6 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 0m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET SELL Up 11¢ $0 1m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $0 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Up 94¢ $5 21m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 21m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $3 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET SELL Up 84¢ $5 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 31m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $11 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $10 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 80¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $2 41m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 81¢ $5 49m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 50m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET SELL Up 24¢ $1 51m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 52m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET SELL Up 79¢ $2 56m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $2 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 54¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 92 -5.9% -14.9% 71% 46% -17.3%
≤30d 121 -5.0% -14.1% 70% 47% -20.2%
≤90d 574 -5.4% -14.4% 61% 49% -14.5%
all 719 -4.3% -13.4% 60% 49% -14.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover6.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.4% 49% -14.5%
10% -21.7% 33% -22.7%
15% -29.3% 22% -30.2%
20% -36.2% 14% -37.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1669 history records