Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:03:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

21
0x2108…aabe
sports · 119 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$37 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$34 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$34
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses51 / 66
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions2
Markets (closed)117 / 119
History coverage31d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day5.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit97%
Chart Positions 2 History 117 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days−$4
14 days−$80
30 days−$32
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) PARIVISION 57¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Astralis 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 FlyQuest 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BIG 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs Liquid - Map 2 Winner Liquid 25¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner paiN 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Monte 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 2 Winner FaZe 58¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs paiN - Map 2 Winner BC.Game Esports 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 32¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner G2 49¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BetBoom Team 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NIP vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner FaZe 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner B8 12¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports - Map 1 Winner BC.Game Esports 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner paiN 56¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 12 $2 +$1 +59%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $9 +$3 +29%
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 −$1 -97%
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 11 $2 +$1 +64%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $3 +$2 +73%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $4 $0 +11%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $5 $0 +8%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $1 +$1 +62%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $2 −$2 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $2 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 11 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $4 −$4 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$2 +41%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $2 +$1 +70%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 +$1 +34%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 2 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $2 −$2 -99%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $1 +$1 +89%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $2 +$1 +57%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 08 $2 +$1 +30%
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $5 +$1 +21%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $2 +$1 +27%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 $0 +27%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $2 +$1 +48%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 08 $2 −$2 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 07 $9 +$2 +24%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $3 +$1 +22%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 +$1 +143%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: FlyQuest vs paiN - Map 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -97%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 +$2 +223%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FlyQuest (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 2 Winner Jun 05 $1 +$1 +118%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest - Map 1 Winner Jun 05 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $1 −$1 -98%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 2 Winner Jun 04 $1 +$1 +99%
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs BIG - Map 1 Winner Jun 04 $1 $0 +46%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$30
other 2% −$5
crypto 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $2 1h
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY PARIVISION 57¢ $1 2h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) SELL TheMongolz 100¢ $3 2h
Map Handicap: MGLZ (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY TheMongolz 62¢ $2 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 9h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 12h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $11 17h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 86¢ $6 18h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 18h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 61¢ $3 18h
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) SELL Aurora Gaming 100¢ $3 18h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Team Falcons 100¢ $5 18h
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) BUY Aurora Gaming 60¢ $2 21h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Team Falcons 57¢ $3 21h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 100¢ $4 21h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 90¢ $4 22h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 - Map 1 Winner BUY Team Falcons 45¢ $1 22h
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 35¢ $1 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag SELL Vitality 100¢ $8 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Vitality 96¢ $8 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner SELL Vitality 100¢ $5 23h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $2 24h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner BUY Vitality 92¢ $5 24h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY MOUZ 61¢ $1 25h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY Vitality 72¢ $2 26h
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 47¢ $2 28h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $1 28h
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 2 Winner BUY BIG 53¢ $4 2d
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 56¢ $1 2d
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 - Map 1 Winner BUY B8 48¢ $2 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +42%
net ROI/market (all)-18.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 47 -18.1% -25.9% 51% 47% -13.2%
≤30d 113 -11.9% -20.3% 43% 42% -15.3%
≤90d 117 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 42% -15.4%
all 117 -10.4% -18.9% 44% 42% -15.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.9% 42% -15.4%
10% -26.7% 40% -23.5%
15% -33.8% 33% -30.9%
20% -40.3% 24% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.02 · official $0.02 (match) · 190 history records