trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 NL West title? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$43 | +13493% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Jun 12 | $12 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 12 | $726 | +$1,120 | +154% |
| Will annual inflation be 3.9% in June? | Jun 12 | $50 | −$22 | -45% |
| Will John Healey be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2 | Jun 12 | $0 | +$5 | +1532% |
| Will voter turnout be between 50% and 60% in the first round of the 20 | Jun 12 | $50 | −$21 | -43% |
| Will Austin FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | Jun 12 | $0 | +$1 | +10450% |
| Will annual inflation be 4.0% in June? | Jun 12 | $51 | −$23 | -46% |
| Will Gabriel Moreno win the 2026 NL Platinum Glove award? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | +29% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $52 | −$52 | -98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 27°C on June 12? | Jun 11 | $0 | $0 | +204% |
| Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the | Jun 11 | $31 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$2 | -31% |
| Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | Jun 11 | $300 | −$210 | -70% |
| Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | Jun 11 | $60 | +$5 | +8% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Jun 11 | $178 | +$9 | +5% |
| Spurs vs. Knicks | Jun 10 | $460 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on June 12? | Jun 10 | $8 | +$11 | +143% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 12? | Jun 10 | $6 | +$9 | +133% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Jun 10 | $1,000 | −$660 | -66% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Jun 10 | $402 | −$324 | -80% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on June 12? | Jun 10 | $1 | +$1 | +136% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 35°C or higher on June 12 | Jun 10 | $0 | +$1 | +158% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 12? | Jun 10 | $51 | −$49 | -96% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Jun 10 | $51 | +$12 | +24% |
| Will Tarcísio de Freitas win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election | Jun 10 | $15 | +$2 | +13% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | +229.6% | +198.2% | 62% | 46% | -14.1% |
| ≤30d | 26 | +229.6% | +198.2% | 62% | 46% | -14.1% |
| ≤90d | 26 | +229.6% | +198.2% | 62% | 46% | -14.1% |
| all | 26 | +229.6% | +198.2% | 62% | 46% | -14.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +198.2% | 46% | -14.1% |
| 10% ← realistic here | +169.7% | 42% | -22.4% |
| 15% | +143.6% | 35% | -29.9% |
| 20% | +119.7% | 35% | -36.7% |