Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T14:37:13+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20fc…d894
crypto · 200 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$218 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$140 · open +$78
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$234
Realized+$140
Unrealized+$78
Win rate (resolved)96%
Wins / losses192 / 7
Open positions1
Markets (closed)199 / 200
History coverage3d
Avg bet$31
Trades / day68.1
Drawdown57%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 1 History 199 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$102
7 days+$140
14 days+$140
30 days+$140
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 2¢ $156 $234 +$78 (+50%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Up 93¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $95 +$105 +109%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$1 +3%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 96% +$36
other 4% +$183
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $30 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 54m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $30 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $30 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $30 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-8.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 199 +1.1% -8.5% 96% 2% -7.4%
≤30d 199 +1.1% -8.5% 96% 2% -7.4%
≤90d 199 +1.1% -8.5% 96% 2% -7.4%
all 199 +1.1% -8.5% 96% 2% -7.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover68.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.5% 2% -7.4%
10% ← realistic here -17.3% 1% -16.3%
15% -25.3% 1% -24.4%
20% -32.6% 1% -31.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $234.00 · official $234.00 (match) · 399 history records