trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +86.2% | +68.4% | 33% | 33% | +249.4% |
| ≤30d | 3 | +86.2% | +68.4% | 33% | 33% | +249.4% |
| ≤90d | 13 | -57.0% | -61.1% | 8% | 8% | -25.7% |
| all | 25 | -39.2% | -45.0% | 16% | 16% | -59.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -45.0% | 16% | -59.9% |
| 10% | -50.3% | 16% | -63.7% |
| 15% | -55.1% | 16% | -67.2% |
| 20% | -59.5% | 16% | -70.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? | Yes | 6¢ | 3¢ | $2,122 | $1,251 | −$871 (-41%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in June? | Jun 15 | $510 | −$273 | -54% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 15? | Jun 15 | $1,441 | +$5,938 | +412% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on June 15? | Jun 14 | $22 | −$21 | -93% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in May? | May 14 | $856 | −$800 | -94% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in February? | Apr 08 | $1,012 | −$1,012 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $102,000 on November 6? | Apr 08 | $299 | −$299 | -100% |
| Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before July? | Apr 08 | $3,389 | −$3,389 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March? | Apr 08 | $734 | −$734 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 February 2-8? | Apr 08 | $21 | −$21 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 February 2-8? | Apr 08 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 2-8? | Apr 08 | $415 | −$415 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? | Apr 04 | $300 | −$279 | -93% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April? | Apr 03 | $329 | −$305 | -93% |
| US recession in 2025? | Nov 06 | $4 | +$4 | +95% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $115k in May? | Jun 20 | $975 | −$834 | -86% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May? | May 17 | $488 | −$275 | -56% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $103000 on May 9? | May 11 | $490 | −$490 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $98000 on May 2? | May 03 | $3,200 | −$3,200 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100k in April? | May 02 | $1,831 | −$1,831 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | Apr 29 | $4,576 | −$4,124 | -90% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $86000 on Apr 11? | Apr 11 | $358 | −$347 | -97% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $88000 on Apr 11? | Apr 11 | $85 | −$30 | -35% |
| Houston vs. Duke | Apr 06 | $107 | +$249 | +233% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86000 and $84000 on April 4? | Apr 04 | $410 | −$312 | -76% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4? | Apr 04 | $313 | +$543 | +174% |