trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +12.7% | +2.0% | 67% | 67% | -41.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | +12.7% | +2.0% | 67% | 67% | -41.2% |
| ≤90d | 78 | +3.1% | -6.8% | 49% | 49% | -14.9% |
| all | 78 | +3.1% | -6.8% | 49% | 49% | -14.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.8% | 49% | -14.9% |
| 10% | -15.7% | 47% | -23.1% |
| 15% | -23.8% | 47% | -30.5% |
| 20% | -31.3% | 44% | -37.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 4¢ | $500 | $564 | +$64 (+13%) |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 6¢ | $484 | $526 | +$42 (+9%) |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 13¢ | $400 | $455 | +$55 (+14%) |
| Will Ghana win on 2026-06-17? | No | 61¢ | 74¢ | $350 | $422 | +$72 (+20%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 9¢ | 7¢ | $358 | $264 | −$93 (-26%) |
| Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 2¢ | $200 | $174 | −$26 (-13%) |
| Will Ghana vs. Panama end in a draw? | Yes | 32¢ | 46¢ | $50 | $71 | +$21 (+42%) |
| Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 1¢ | 1¢ | $1 | $1 | −$0 (-15%) |
| Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$0 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $203 | +$142 | +70% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 16 | $992 | +$977 | +98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2,496 | −$2,467 | -99% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $508 | +$491 | +97% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $1,015 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $100 | +$11 | +11% |
| Kings vs. Canucks | Apr 16 | $42 | +$53 | +127% |
| Jets vs. Utah | Apr 16 | $70 | +$36 | +52% |
| Capitals vs. Blue Jackets | Apr 16 | $111 | +$125 | +113% |
| Blues vs. Utah | Apr 16 | $76 | −$76 | -100% |
| Canadiens vs. Flyers | Apr 15 | $400 | −$400 | -100% |
| Blues vs. Blackhawks | Apr 13 | $96 | +$71 | +74% |
| Wild vs. Predators | Apr 13 | $150 | +$150 | +100% |
| Maple Leafs vs. Islanders | Apr 10 | $695 | −$53 | -8% |
| Blue Jackets vs. Red Wings | Apr 08 | $43 | +$43 | +100% |
| Oilers vs. Utah | Apr 08 | $140 | +$109 | +78% |
| Lightning vs. Senators: O/U 6.5 | Apr 08 | $340 | +$167 | +49% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $100 | −$37 | -37% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Lightning vs. Sabres | Apr 07 | $230 | +$239 | +104% |
| Blackhawks vs. Sharks | Apr 07 | $120 | −$120 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Hawks: O/U 227.5 | Apr 06 | $75 | −$74 | -98% |
| Blackhawks vs. Kraken | Apr 05 | $90 | +$135 | +150% |
| Flames vs. Ducks | Apr 05 | $150 | +$198 | +132% |
| Blues vs. Ducks | Apr 04 | $80 | +$98 | +122% |
| Blues vs. Ducks: O/U 6.5 | Apr 04 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Bucks: O/U 217.5 | Apr 04 | $80 | −$78 | -98% |
| Spread: Raptors (-14.5) | Apr 04 | $100 | −$98 | -98% |
| Flyers vs. Islanders | Apr 04 | $610 | −$610 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Rockets: O/U 233.5 | Apr 03 | $200 | −$197 | -98% |
| Penguins vs. Lightning | Apr 03 | $210 | +$91 | +43% |
| Spread: Hornets (-5.5) | Apr 03 | $100 | +$151 | +152% |
| Blackhawks vs. Oilers | Apr 02 | $80 | −$2 | -3% |
| Capitals vs. Devils | Apr 02 | $100 | −$4 | -4% |
| Nuggets vs. Jazz: O/U 249.5 | Apr 02 | $100 | +$52 | +52% |
| Ducks vs. Sharks | Apr 02 | $100 | +$96 | +96% |
| Spread: Bulls (-4.5) | Apr 02 | $400 | +$343 | +86% |
| Spurs vs. Warriors: O/U 227.5 | Apr 02 | $150 | −$45 | -30% |
| Spread: Avalanche (-2.5) | Apr 02 | $50 | −$49 | -98% |
| Bucks vs. Rockets: O/U 216.5 | Apr 02 | $70 | −$69 | -99% |
| 76ers vs. Wizards: O/U 238.5 | Apr 01 | $400 | −$3 | -1% |
| Hawks vs. Magic | Apr 01 | $80 | −$79 | -98% |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | Apr 01 | $122 | −$120 | -98% |
| Spread: 76ers (-15.5) | Apr 01 | $84 | −$83 | -99% |
| Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Pla | Apr 01 | $42 | +$56 | +134% |
| Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ODDIK (BO3) - PGL Astana: South American Close | Apr 01 | $90 | −$88 | -98% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Clippers | Apr 01 | $300 | +$495 | +165% |
| Cavaliers vs. Lakers | Apr 01 | $307 | −$302 | -98% |
| Spread: Hornets (-15.5) | Apr 01 | $50 | +$33 | +66% |
| Suns vs. Magic | Apr 01 | $100 | +$76 | +76% |