trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 32 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 22% | 22% | +2.1% |
| ≤30d | 32 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 22% | 22% | +2.1% |
| ≤90d | 32 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 22% | 22% | +2.1% |
| all | 32 | -51.7% | -56.3% | 22% | 22% | +2.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -56.3% | 22% | +2.1% |
| 10% | -60.5% | 22% | -7.7% |
| 15% ← realistic here | -64.3% | 22% | -16.6% |
| 20% | -67.8% | 16% | -24.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 89¢ | 100¢ | $12,752 | $14,305 | +$1,554 (+12%) |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | No | 56¢ | 89¢ | $5,540 | $8,781 | +$3,241 (+58%) |
| Will Australia win on 2026-06-25? | No | 78¢ | 78¢ | $8,789 | $8,687 | −$102 (-1%) |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | Türkiye | 70¢ | 70¢ | $6,178 | $6,244 | +$66 (+1%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | No | 66¢ | 64¢ | $6,045 | $5,840 | −$205 (-3%) |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-26? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $5,640 | $5,670 | +$30 (+1%) |
| Spread: Japan (-1.5) | Sweden | 73¢ | 99¢ | $4,115 | $5,557 | +$1,442 (+35%) |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-26? | No | 75¢ | 76¢ | $5,126 | $5,161 | +$34 (+1%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | No | 49¢ | 48¢ | $5,076 | $5,026 | −$50 (-1%) |
| Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw? | No | 63¢ | 64¢ | $4,843 | $4,869 | +$27 (+1%) |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | No | 72¢ | 89¢ | $3,789 | $4,681 | +$892 (+24%) |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 51¢ | 52¢ | $4,363 | $4,393 | +$30 (+1%) |
| Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw? | No | 91¢ | 100¢ | $3,748 | $4,108 | +$360 (+10%) |
| Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw? | No | 78¢ | 78¢ | $3,837 | $3,812 | −$25 (-1%) |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | No | 77¢ | 78¢ | $3,651 | $3,682 | +$31 (+1%) |
| Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5 | Under | 47¢ | 74¢ | $2,112 | $3,332 | +$1,219 (+58%) |
| Will Norway vs. France end in a draw? | No | 79¢ | 80¢ | $3,143 | $3,173 | +$31 (+1%) |
| Spread: Netherlands (-2.5) | Tunisia | 51¢ | 82¢ | $1,651 | $2,647 | +$996 (+60%) |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 36¢ | 36¢ | $2,502 | $2,536 | +$35 (+1%) |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-27? | No | 66¢ | 66¢ | $2,322 | $2,340 | +$18 (+1%) |
| Will Spain win on 2026-06-26? | No | 35¢ | 34¢ | $2,203 | $2,108 | −$94 (-4%) |
| Spread: United States (-1.5) | United States | 31¢ | 30¢ | $1,810 | $1,728 | −$82 (-5%) |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-26? | No | 68¢ | 64¢ | $1,740 | $1,650 | −$90 (-5%) |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-26? | Yes | 39¢ | 36¢ | $1,606 | $1,466 | −$140 (-9%) |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25? | Yes | 24¢ | 26¢ | $1,275 | $1,354 | +$80 (+6%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 26 | $472 | −$942 | -200% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 26 | $1,046 | −$2,090 | -200% |
| Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $2,314 | −$2,314 | -100% |
| Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $8 | −$8 | -100% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 26 | $115 | −$230 | -200% |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 26 | $233 | −$465 | -200% |
| Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 26 | $1,698 | −$1,728 | -102% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 26 | $216 | −$418 | -194% |
| Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $67 | −$134 | -200% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $2,260 | −$4,520 | -200% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 26 | $460 | −$923 | -201% |
| South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $470 | −$470 | -100% |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds | Jun 26 | $62 | −$62 | -100% |
| Will Scotland win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 26 | $581 | −$581 | -100% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 26 | $4,014 | −$3,869 | -96% |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals | Jun 26 | $590 | −$590 | -100% |
| Morocco vs. Haiti: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $750 | −$750 | -100% |
| Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $1,237 | −$2,474 | -200% |
| Czechia vs. Mexico: O/U 2.5 | Jun 26 | $3,150 | −$3,150 | -100% |
| Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | Jun 26 | $362 | −$362 | -100% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Jun 26 | $355 | −$710 | -200% |
| Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-23? | Jun 26 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 26 | $1,424 | −$2,872 | -202% |
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 26 | $393 | −$787 | -200% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $27,142 | +$24,568 | +90% |
| Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $956 | +$4,196 | +439% |
| Spread: Germany (-1.5) | Jun 25 | $11,163 | +$4,503 | +40% |
| Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $14,722 | +$14,762 | +100% |
| Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5) | Jun 25 | $6,692 | +$2,520 | +38% |
| Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? | Jun 25 | $4,458 | +$2,600 | +58% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $11,027 | +$8,369 | +76% |
| Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-25? | Jun 25 | $17,910 | −$23,947 | -134% |