Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:54:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20d2…e29d
crypto · 358 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$285 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$363 · open −$20
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$152
Realized+$363
Unrealized−$20
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses190 / 165
Open positions3
Markets (closed)355 / 358
History coverage1d
Avg bet$105
Trades / day2976.9
Drawdown60%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 3 History 355 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$363
7 days+$363
14 days+$363
30 days+$363
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 68¢ 100¢ $59 $85 +$27 (+46%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Up 50¢ 80¢ $27 $44 +$17 (+62%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 38¢ 30¢ $19 $15 −$4 (-22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 29¢ 20¢ $10 $7 −$3 (-32%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 75¢ 70¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-6%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-99%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $120 −$7 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $306 −$31 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $147 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $192 −$9 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $52 −$7 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $205 +$2 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $64 +$14 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 12 $90 +$16 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $45 +$10 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $157 +$17 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $95 −$10 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $122 +$10 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $100 +$2 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $208 −$19 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $16 +$35 +218%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 12 $130 +$9 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $126 −$20 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$44 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $182 +$5 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $49 +$8 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $129 +$6 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$14 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $148 −$6 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $163 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $64 −$7 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $98 +$63 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $124 +$35 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$14 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 12 $93 −$7 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 12 $35 +$17 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $47 +$10 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $102 −$6 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $94 −$7 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 12 $59 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $141 −$19 -13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $58 +$14 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $102 +$14 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 12 $51 +$9 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $154 −$17 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $131 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$15 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 12 $77 +$13 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $114 −$11 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $292 −$41 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $55 +$16 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $110 +$35 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $105 +$22 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $31 −$10 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $117 −$10 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$343
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 18¢ $11 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Up 83¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $27 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $76 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $8 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $1 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 75¢ $11 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $12 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $14 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $1 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $10 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $12 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Down 25¢ $0 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $78 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $39 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $18 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Down 33¢ $3 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 2¢ $0 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $39 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $94 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $95 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $38 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $95 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $1 13m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-2.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 355 +8.1% -2.2% 54% 32% -8.6%
≤30d 355 +8.1% -2.2% 54% 32% -8.6%
≤90d 355 +8.1% -2.2% 54% 32% -8.6%
all 355 +8.1% -2.2% 54% 32% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2976.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.2% 32% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -11.5% 20% -17.4%
15% -20.1% 12% -25.4%
20% -27.9% 6% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $151.88 · official $121.37 · 3500 history records