trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025? | Yes | 0¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $0 | $0 | −$0 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 14 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 20 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 22 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 15 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 25 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Liz Cheney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 12 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Feb 14 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Jan 20 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Detroit Lions win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Chicago Bears win Super Bowl 2026? | Nov 10 | $13 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Raiders win the AFC Championship? | Oct 23 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Tennessee Titans win Super Bowl 2026? | Sep 22 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the San Diego Padres win the 2025 World Series? | Sep 19 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Raiders win Super Bowl 2025? | Sep 19 | $0 | $0 | -100% |
| Will the Green Bay Packers win Super Bowl 2026? | Aug 12 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Las Vegas Raiders win Super Bowl 2026? | Jul 13 | $1 | $0 | +11% |
| Will the Cardinals win Super Bowl 2025? | Jul 09 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Torino win the Serie A? | Jun 05 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Club Brugge win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 05 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026? | Jun 04 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Dinamo Zagreb win the UEFA Champions League? | Jun 04 | $0 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Sławomir Mentzen be the next President of Poland? | May 13 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Na Kyung-won be elected the next president of South Korea? | Apr 14 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 27 | $1 | $0 | -25% |
| Will Benfica win the UEFA Champions League? | Feb 06 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Dec 16 | $0 | $0 | +0% |
| Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League? | Dec 14 | $0 | $0 | -14% |
| Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 24 | $292 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Nov 24 | $91 | $0 | -0% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | -0.3% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| all | 29 | -8.3% | -17.0% | 10% | 3% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.0% | 3% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -25.0% | 0% | -18.3% |
| 15% | -32.2% | 0% | -26.2% |
| 20% | -38.9% | 0% | -33.4% |