trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +19.2% | +7.9% | 57% | 57% | -19.9% |
| ≤30d | 10 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 50% | 50% | -19.7% |
| ≤90d | 10 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 50% | 50% | -19.7% |
| all | 13 | -10.6% | -19.1% | 46% | 46% | -19.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -19.1% | 46% | -19.9% |
| 10% | -26.9% | 23% | -27.5% |
| 15% | -33.9% | 15% | -34.5% |
| 20% | -40.4% | 15% | -40.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| JD Vance out as VP by June 30? | Yes | 1¢ | 0¢ | $7 | $3 | −$3 (-50%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $302 | +$93 | +31% |
| Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $637 | +$112 | +18% |
| Türkiye vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $800 | −$240 | -30% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $795 | +$94 | +12% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 19 | $407 | −$406 | -100% |
| Will Donald Trump's tie be red? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$10 | +300% |
| Will Donald Trump attend the G7 Summit? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -96% |
| Will Donald Trump visit France in 2026? | Jun 10 | $6 | −$5 | -96% |
| Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit? | Jun 07 | $48 | +$9 | +18% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on Jun | Jun 02 | $3 | −$2 | -85% |
| Will "Skyscraper Live" be the top global Netflix show this week? (Janu | Jan 25 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 1 hour an | Jan 25 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 45 minute | Jan 25 | $7 | +$7 | +94% |