Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:40:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20c7…50c9
other · 426 markets active 1h ago
3.0score
−$5,617 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,617 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP Fading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$91
Realized−$5,617
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses165 / 260
Whale WR (big bets)61%
Est. fees paid−$30
Open positions1
Markets (closed)425 / 426
History coverage586d
Avg bet$222
Trades / day1.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit26%
Chart Positions 1 History 425 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$2
7 days+$535
14 days+$535
30 days+$535
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 Over 93¢ 92¢ $92 $91 −$0 (-1%)
Will Olympiakós SFP win on 2026-02-18? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $38 $0 −$38 (-100%)
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-01-22? Yes 59¢ 0¢ $110 $0 −$110 (-100%)
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 53¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Girona FC vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Score No 37¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Will Real Oviedo win on 2026-01-25? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Will CD Riestra win on 2026-02-01? Yes 40¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-02-14? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-01-22? Yes 18¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-13? Yes 13¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-26? Yes 38¢ 0¢ $54 $0 −$54 (-100%)
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? Yes 14¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09? Yes 26¢ 0¢ $176 $0 −$176 (-100%)
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-25? Yes 34¢ 0¢ $49 $0 −$49 (-100%)
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Elche CF win on 2026-01-23? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $206 $0 −$206 (-100%)
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $113 $0 −$113 (-100%)
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20? Yes 67¢ 0¢ $171 $0 −$171 (-100%)
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-02-21? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score Yes 23¢ 0¢ $81 $0 −$81 (-100%)
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-09? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $64 $0 −$64 (-100%)
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? Yes 11¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-25? Yes 35¢ 0¢ $51 $0 −$51 (-100%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $387 $0 −$387 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $85 +$7 +8%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 Jun 13 $76 +$8 +11%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $70 +$7 +10%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $24 +$46 +191%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $90 −$66 -73%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $783 +$207 +26%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $723 +$60 +8%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 Jun 11 $658 +$131 +20%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $633 +$25 +4%
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $523 +$111 +21%
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score May 05 $241 −$194 -80%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $21 −$21 -99%
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $5 +$21 +388%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? May 04 $15 −$15 -99%
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-03? May 04 $20 +$32 +158%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? May 03 $20 +$16 +79%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02? May 02 $299 −$167 -56%
CA San Lorenzo de Almagro vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: Both Teams to Score Apr 20 $83 −$81 -98%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-20? Apr 20 $172 −$171 -99%
Will US Lecce win on 2026-04-20? Apr 20 $23 −$22 -97%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-22? Apr 20 $16 −$3 -17%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-22? Apr 20 $184 −$1 -0%
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $26 +$201 +784%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $174 −$173 -99%
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 19 $279 +$115 +41%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-19? Apr 18 $121 −$62 -51%
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $162 +$95 +59%
Will Colorado Rapids SC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $38 −$38 -100%
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $73 +$172 +237%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-04-18? Apr 18 $115 −$113 -98%
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-17? Apr 17 $190 +$49 +26%
Will SS Lazio win on 2026-04-18? Apr 17 $33 −$3 -10%
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-04-18? Apr 17 $167 −$4 -3%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-16? Apr 16 $159 +$91 +57%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-16? Apr 16 $41 −$39 -98%
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $155 +$77 +50%
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $45 −$44 -98%
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 15 $95 +$157 +165%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 14 $105 −$103 -98%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $203 −$122 -60%
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $197 −$79 -40%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $177 +$54 +30%
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $25 −$25 -97%
FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona: O/U 4.5 Apr 11 $100 −$99 -99%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09? Apr 11 $319 +$363 +114%
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09? Apr 09 $180 −$176 -98%
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $108 +$479 +441%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08? Apr 08 $392 −$387 -99%
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5 Apr 07 $24 +$9 +38%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 61% −$1,309
sports 33% −$3,534
politics 4% −$720
crypto 2% +$81
world 0% −$125
economics 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 93¢ $92 51m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $92 56m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $85 21h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $84 22h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 90¢ $76 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $77 27h
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 91¢ $70 32h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 33¢ $7 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners SELL Under 30¢ $7 44h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 34¢ $17 44h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners SELL Under 17¢ $17 45h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 72¢ $90 46h
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 79¢ $783 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 SELL Over 100¢ $783 2d
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 0.5 BUY Over 92¢ $723 2d
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 83¢ $658 2d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 SELL Under 83¢ $657 3d
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 79¢ $633 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $633 3d
Portugal vs. Nigeria: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 82¢ $523 3d
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score SELL Yes 10¢ $47 39d
Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 49¢ $241 39d
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 67¢ $21 40d
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 14¢ $4 40d
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? SELL Yes 100¢ $26 40d
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 20¢ $5 40d
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04? BUY Yes 57¢ $15 40d
Will Austin FC win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 38¢ $20 41d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? SELL Yes 100¢ $37 41d
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-03? BUY Yes 55¢ $20 41d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-21.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 10 +22.6% +10.9% 90% 50% +3.7%
≤30d 10 +22.6% +10.9% 90% 50% +3.7%
≤90d 52 +18.8% +7.4% 48% 40% -4.7%
all 425 -12.8% -21.1% 39% 35% -14.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -21.1% 35% -14.9%
10% -28.7% 31% -23.1%
15% -35.5% 24% -30.5%
20% -41.9% 20% -37.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $91.39 · official $91.39 (match) · 923 history records