trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 26 | -21.1% | -28.6% | 46% | 46% | -18.3% |
| ≤30d | 36 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 47% | 47% | -3.8% |
| ≤90d | 36 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 47% | 47% | -3.8% |
| all | 36 | -5.2% | -14.2% | 47% | 47% | -3.8% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -14.2% | 47% | -3.8% |
| 10% | -22.4% | 47% | -13.0% |
| 15% | -29.9% | 42% | -21.4% |
| 20% | -36.8% | 33% | -29.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 10¢ | 15¢ | $2,000 | $3,046 | +$1,046 (+52%) |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 19¢ | 19¢ | $2,970 | $2,975 | +$5 (+0%) |
| Spread: Brazil (-1.5) | Brazil | 56¢ | 99¢ | $800 | $1,409 | +$609 (+76%) |
| Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 29¢ | 20¢ | $1,999 | $1,339 | −$660 (-33%) |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 8¢ | 6¢ | $1,767 | $1,226 | −$541 (-31%) |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 2¢ | 1¢ | $750 | $625 | −$125 (-17%) |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | Yes | 16¢ | 10¢ | $1,000 | $594 | −$406 (-41%) |
| Will Raphinha be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 5¢ | 0¢ | $500 | $5 | −$495 (-99%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $508 | +$628 | +124% |
| Spread: England (-2.5) | Jun 23 | $204 | −$200 | -98% |
| Spread: England (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $809 | −$800 | -99% |
| Norway vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score | Jun 23 | $810 | +$593 | +73% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 23 | $1,007 | +$292 | +29% |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | Jun 22 | $505 | +$241 | +48% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 22 | $509 | +$741 | +146% |
| France vs. Iraq: O/U 4.5 | Jun 22 | $306 | −$300 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,009 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Spread: Belgium (-1.5) | Jun 21 | $610 | −$600 | -98% |
| Lamine Yamal: 2+ goals | Jun 21 | $507 | −$500 | -99% |
| Argentina vs. Austria: Both Teams to Score | Jun 21 | $508 | −$500 | -98% |
| Ferrán Torres: 1+ goals | Jun 21 | $406 | −$400 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1,010 | +$461 | +46% |
| Spread: Japan (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $507 | +$419 | +83% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 3.5 | Jun 21 | $509 | −$509 | -100% |
| Spread: Germany (-2.5) | Jun 21 | $409 | −$409 | -100% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1,009 | +$440 | +44% |
| Germany vs. Côte d'Ivoire: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $506 | +$356 | +70% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: O/U 4.5 | Jun 20 | $1,007 | +$292 | +29% |
| Netherlands vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 20 | $1,012 | +$628 | +62% |
| Spread: Netherlands (-1.5) | Jun 20 | $1,010 | −$1,000 | -99% |
| Spread: Brazil (-2.5) | Jun 20 | $500 | +$500 | +100% |
| Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 18 | $410 | −$400 | -98% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw? | Jun 18 | $128 | −$125 | -98% |
| Spread: Morocco (-1.5) | Jun 18 | $409 | −$400 | -98% |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | Jun 17 | $1,145 | +$1,569 | +137% |
| Spread: France (-1.5) | Jun 16 | $509 | +$773 | +152% |
| Spread: Spain (-2.5) | Jun 15 | $811 | −$800 | -99% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $511 | +$1,341 | +262% |
| Spread: Spain (-3.5) | Jun 14 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score | Jun 14 | $508 | +$556 | +109% |
| Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $900 | −$900 | -100% |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? | Jun 12 | $510 | −$500 | -98% |
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 02 | $750 | −$750 | -100% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Jun 01 | $1,000 | +$2,005 | +200% |