Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x20b0…bbae
crypto · 1771 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,337 -32%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,337 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$98
Realized−$5,337
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses1714 / 481
Open positions0
Markets (closed)2195 / 1771
History coverage2d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day818.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 0 History 2195 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,359
7 days−$5,337
14 days−$5,337
30 days−$5,337
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 56¢ 100¢ $6 $11 +$5 (+79%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 69¢ 100¢ $7 $11 +$3 (+45%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Up 67¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+49%)
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 83¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+20%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Down 62¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+61%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+59%)
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Down 58¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+72%)
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Down 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 95¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+5%)
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 60¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+67%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +79%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$3 +45%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +49%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +61%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +59%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - May 25, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - May 23, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 30, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +9%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 23, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +56%
BNB Up or Down - May 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +4%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +11%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 21, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 15, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 79% +$387
other 21% +$123
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 2m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 3m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 3m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $10 4m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 7m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $9 9m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $10 12m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $7 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 16m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 16m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 16m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 61¢ $6 22m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $7 25m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 26m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $10 27m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 27m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $10 32m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 38m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $9 38m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $9 38m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 41m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $6 45m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 47m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $10 48m
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $10 48m
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $10 52m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +9%
net ROI/market (all)-23.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 2195 -15.7% -23.7% 78% 9% -31.2%
≤30d 2195 -15.7% -23.7% 78% 9% -31.2%
≤90d 2195 -15.7% -23.7% 78% 9% -31.2%
all 2195 -15.7% -23.7% 78% 9% -31.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover818.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.7% 9% -31.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.0% 6% -37.8%
15% -37.7% 5% -43.8%
20% -43.8% 5% -49.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $98.07 · official $71.97 · 3500 history records