Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:32:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2096…a383
crypto · 1281 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$111 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$110 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$10
Realized−$110
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)41%
Wins / losses527 / 752
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1279 / 1281
History coverage7d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day171.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1279 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$126
14 days−$110
30 days−$110
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 50¢ 78¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+55%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Up 50¢ 50¢ $2 $3 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 50¢ 22¢ $2 $1 −$1 (-55%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$111
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET SELL Down 21¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET SELL Up 13¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 18¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET SELL Up 23¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET SELL Down 34¢ $2 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET SELL Down 13¢ $1 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 20¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET SELL Down 14¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 20¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET SELL Up 19¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET SELL Down 12¢ $1 11h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-12.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1180 -3.6% -12.8% 36% 27% -11.5%
≤30d 1279 -3.0% -12.2% 41% 25% -11.1%
≤90d 1279 -3.0% -12.2% 41% 25% -11.1%
all 1279 -3.0% -12.2% 41% 25% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover171.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.2% 25% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -20.6% 1% -19.6%
15% -28.3% 1% -27.4%
20% -35.3% 0% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $10.00 · official $10.00 (match) · 3500 history records