Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:57:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2093…fc4e
crypto · 1396 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$21 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$24 · open −$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$17
Realized+$24
Unrealized−$3
Win rate (resolved)46%
Wins / losses643 / 752
Est. fees paid−$44
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1395 / 1396
History coverage86d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day26.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1395 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$75
7 days+$153
14 days+$77
30 days+$165
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ 100¢ $9 $17 +$8 (+85%)
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner T1 23¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Up 9¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 3, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 20¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 2, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend Team WE 21¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner Jun 12 $53 −$42 -80%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $86 +$114 +132%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $116 +$4 +3%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 08 $9 +$5 +57%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $9 −$9 -98%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $18 −$18 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $40 −$12 -30%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $22 −$22 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp (BO5) - LEC Playoffs Jun 07 $62 −$61 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $24 −$9 -38%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $70 −$54 -78%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $9 +$5 +52%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $8 +$5 +60%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $66 +$15 +23%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $37 +$14 +37%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $8 −$8 -98%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $52 −$35 -68%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $35 +$111 +318%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $66 +$58 +88%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $39 −$39 -99%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $65 +$34 +53%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $22 −$21 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$4 +42%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $10 +$3 +29%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $9 +$19 +216%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $9 −$9 -98%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $9 +$5 +50%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $9 +$3 +38%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $108 +$104 +96%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $9 −$9 -98%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $9 −$8 -98%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $9 +$2 +24%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $10 +$2 +18%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $10 +$2 +17%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $9 +$13 +134%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $9 −$9 -100%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $9 +$10 +105%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $9 +$9 +97%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $9 −$9 -98%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $35 +$7 +20%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $20 −$14 -69%
LoL: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $14 +$6 +40%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $11 +$16 +148%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $16 $0 +1%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $8 −$8 -99%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $26 −$12 -48%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $18 +$3 +19%
LoL: RED Canids vs LOS - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $16 −$8 -49%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $11 +$6 +54%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 55% −$143
sports 45% +$161
other 0% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY T1 23¢ $3 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 54¢ $9 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 11¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 15¢ $3 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $1 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $2 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 69¢ $0 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 61¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 21¢ $3 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 19¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 22¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 20¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 21¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 28¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 24¢ $4 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 3 Winner BUY T1 41¢ $7 3h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 69¢ $3 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 16¢ $7 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 65¢ $7 4h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 37¢ $7 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-14.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 +3.3% -6.5% 53% 50% +3.2%
≤30d 406 +2.1% -7.6% 50% 42% -5.0%
≤90d 1395 -5.1% -14.1% 46% 40% -9.2%
all 1395 -5.1% -14.1% 46% 40% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.1% 40% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -22.3% 35% -17.9%
15% -29.8% 32% -25.8%
20% -36.7% 27% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17.08 · official $17.08 (match) · 3500 history records