Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:46:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2091…bf26
crypto · 25 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$31 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$31 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$31
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)36%
Wins / losses9 / 16
Open positions0
Markets (closed)25 / 25
History coverage258d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day0.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 25 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$28
7 days−$28
14 days−$28
30 days−$28
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? Sep 29 $1 $0 -10%
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? Sep 29 $2 $0 -0%
XRP all time high by December 31? Sep 29 $6 −$1 -9%
Will Base launch a token in 2025? Sep 29 $7 −$1 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28? Sep 29 $1 +$1 +82%
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September? Sep 29 $1 −$1 -80%
Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? Sep 29 $2 −$1 -74%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 89% −$28
other 7% −$1
politics 3% −$2
world 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 80¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $5 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 28¢ $5 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 2h
Will Trump meet with Putin by December 31? SELL Yes 29¢ $1 257d
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? SELL Yes 12¢ $2 257d
XRP all time high by December 31? SELL Yes 43¢ $5 257d
Will Base launch a token in 2025? SELL Yes 9¢ $6 257d
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 257d
Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? SELL Yes 0¢ $1 257d
XRP all time high by December 31? BUY Yes 47¢ $6 258d
Bitcoin Up or Down on September 28? BUY Up 55¢ $1 258d
Will Base launch a token in 2025? BUY Yes 10¢ $7 258d
Will Trump pardon SBF by September 30? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 258d
Will Bitcoin dip to $107K in September? BUY Yes 44¢ $1 258d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-38.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 18 -38.1% -44.0% 44% 33% -39.2%
≤30d 18 -38.1% -44.0% 44% 33% -39.2%
≤90d 18 -38.1% -44.0% 44% 33% -39.2%
all 25 -31.4% -38.0% 36% 28% -35.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.1 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -38.0% 28% -35.9%
10% -43.9% 24% -42.1%
15% -49.3% 20% -47.7%
20% -54.3% 16% -52.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 57 history records