trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 5 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 40% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 26 | +0.3% | -9.3% | 73% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.3% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.0% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -25.9% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.2% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or below on June 30? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $187 | $187 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 10 | $793 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 06 | $1,180 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 04 | $544 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in March? | Apr 01 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Tesla be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Apr 01 | $68 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 28 | $502 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Mar 20 | $713 | −$1 | -0% |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $464 | $0 | -0% |
| Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 16 | $449 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on Ma | Mar 09 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on Ma | Mar 08 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on Ma | Mar 07 | $18 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana reach $200 in February? | Mar 01 | $15 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Apple announce the iPhone 17e by February 28? | Mar 01 | $73 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Apple (AAPL) close above $320 end of February? | Feb 28 | $27 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C on February 27? | Feb 27 | $51 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Toronto be -11°C or below on February | Feb 24 | $23 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January? | Feb 16 | $2 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of January 2026? | Feb 16 | $52 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 41°C or higher on Dece | Jan 21 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 43°C or higher on Dece | Jan 21 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump announce Kevin Hassett to replace Lisa Cook? | Jan 21 | $11 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Drin "Makazze" Shaqiri win the HLTV Rookie of the Year award | Jan 21 | $15 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | Jan 21 | $22 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? | Jan 21 | $128 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 20 | Dec 26 | $1 | $0 | +3% |