Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T22:35:43+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x207c…9534
sports · 53 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
+$2 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1 · open +$3
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$8
Realized−$1
Unrealized+$3
Win rate (resolved)37%
Wins / losses18 / 31
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions4
Markets (closed)49 / 53
History coverage155d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day0.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 4 History 49 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$0
30 days−$10
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Yes 28¢ 100¢ $1 $4 +$3 (+257%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 4¢ 5¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Bigetron by Vitality 67¢ 66¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Dewa United Esports 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
US government shutdown Saturday? No 7¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Alter Ego 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Alter Ego 79¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season ONIC 78¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Alter Ego 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Team Liquid ID 60¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Bigetron by Vitality 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Playoffs Dewa United Esports 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular Season Alter Ego 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Up 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $2 −$2 -84%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl Jun 12 $2 +$1 +26%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) Jun 12 $1 +$1 +53%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +165%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $1 $0 +42%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 11 $4 −$1 -25%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In Jun 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind Jun 10 $2 +$2 +91%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M Jun 09 $1 −$1 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular S May 24 $8 +$2 +24%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Ind May 21 $4 −$4 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia May 21 $2 −$2 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indo May 21 $2 −$2 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indon May 17 $2 +$1 +51%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MP May 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indo May 17 $2 −$2 -99%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regu May 15 $1 −$1 -98%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Indo May 15 $2 +$1 +34%
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? May 14 $2 −$1 -26%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 07 $1 $0 +28%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 m Mar 10 $2 $0 -21%
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026? Mar 10 $3 −$2 -56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11PM ET Feb 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Feb 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 10PM ET Feb 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Feb 11 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Feb 08 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Feb 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Feb 04 $1 +$3 +262%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Feb 04 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Feb 04 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down on February 4? Feb 04 $2 +$1 +28%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 me Feb 03 $1 $0 -25%
Park Sung-jae in jail by March 31? Feb 03 $2 −$1 -60%
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 m Feb 03 $1 $0 -31%
US government shutdown Saturday? Jan 31 $11 −$1 -9%
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of January? Jan 28 $1 +$1 +112%
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of January? Jan 28 $1 +$2 +171%
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? Jan 28 $2 −$2 -90%
US strike on Mexico by January 31? Jan 28 $2 −$2 -91%
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 22 $3 −$2 -61%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m Jan 22 $1 $0 +4%
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? Jan 22 $3 +$1 +50%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jan 22 $3 −$1 -35%
Will Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jan 22 $2 +$1 +35%
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting? Jan 10 $1 −$1 -100%
US strike on Colombia by January 31? Jan 10 $2 +$2 +102%
US strike on Colombia by March 31? Jan 10 $9 +$21 +232%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 34% −$7
other 25% +$25
politics 14% −$1
crypto 14% −$6
economics 9% −$5
world 4% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 9¢ $0 1h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 46¢ $1 1h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO7) - BUY Bigetron by Vitality 67¢ $1 4h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl SELL ONIC 100¢ $3 8h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) SELL Bigetron by Vitality 92¢ $2 14h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 53¢ $2 17h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 28¢ $1 17h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) BUY Bigetron by Vitality 59¢ $1 18h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Geek Fam ID vs ONIC (BO5) - MPL Indonesia Pl BUY ONIC 79¢ $2 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? SELL Yes 100¢ $3 18h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 37¢ $1 30h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $1 30h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind SELL ONIC 100¢ $4 31h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 74¢ $3 44h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY Bigetron by Vitality 29¢ $1 44h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - MPL In BUY Team Liquid ID 60¢ $1 44h
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind SELL Bigetron by Vitality 99¢ $4 2d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs Geek Fam ID (BO5) - M BUY Dewa United Esports 65¢ $1 3d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs EVOS (BO5) - MPL Ind BUY Bigetron by Vitality 51¢ $2 3d
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 4¢ $2 3d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular S SELL ONIC 100¢ $10 19d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: ONIC vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indonesia Regular S BUY ONIC 80¢ $8 22d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Bigetron by Vitality vs ONIC (BO3) - MPL Ind BUY ONIC 78¢ $4 22d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs RRQ Hoshi (BO3) - MPL Indonesia BUY Alter Ego 79¢ $2 22d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indo BUY Alter Ego 61¢ $1 22d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Liquid ID vs Alter Ego (BO3) - MPL Indo BUY Alter Ego 59¢ $1 23d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indon SELL Natus Vincere 98¢ $3 26d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Alter Ego vs Bigetron by Vitality (BO3) - MP BUY Alter Ego 64¢ $1 26d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: RRQ Hoshi vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - MPL Indon BUY Natus Vincere 64¢ $2 26d
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Dewa United Esports vs EVOS (BO3) - MPL Indo BUY Dewa United Esports 54¢ $2 26d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +35%
net ROI/market (all)-29.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 9 -0.8% -10.3% 56% 56% -6.3%
≤30d 19 -27.6% -34.5% 42% 42% -31.9%
≤90d 20 -24.8% -32.0% 45% 45% -30.7%
all 49 -21.8% -29.3% 37% 35% -10.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -29.3% 35% -10.4%
10% -36.0% 35% -19.0%
15% -42.2% 22% -26.8%
20% -47.9% 18% -34.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $7.94 · official $7.94 (match) · 96 history records