Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T13:34:02+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

20
0x2077…8161
sports · 1526 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,019 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,984 · open −$35
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$517
Realized−$1,984
Unrealized−$35
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses852 / 667
Est. fees paid−$459
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1519 / 1526
History coverage82d
Avg bet$28
Trades / day24.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 7 History 1519 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,672
7 days−$326
14 days−$19
30 days+$539
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card) Josh Hokit 77¢ 78¢ $229 $234 +$4 (+2%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Dino Prizmic 48¢ 49¢ $83 $85 +$2 (+2%)
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Tristan Boyer 63¢ 81¢ $48 $63 +$14 (+29%)
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Nicolas Kicker 67¢ 66¢ $56 $56 −$0 (-1%)
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Federico Cina 52¢ 50¢ $53 $52 −$2 (-3%)
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ 40¢ $28 $28 −$0 (-1%)
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko Vitaliy Sachko 42¢ 0¢ $53 $0 −$53 (-100%)
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Darwin Blanch 43¢ 0¢ $37 $0 −$37 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Mark Lajal 42¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $125 +$154 +124%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $122 +$69 +57%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $38 −$37 -98%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $48 −$48 -98%
Ilkley: Tatiana Prozorova vs Sinja Kraus Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Jun 13 $26 −$26 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $32 −$32 -100%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz Jun 13 $38 −$38 -100%
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $33 −$33 -100%
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $42 −$42 -100%
Lyon: Dali Blanch vs David Jorda Sanchis Jun 13 $71 −$71 -100%
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak Jun 13 $109 −$109 -100%
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $10 +$7 +73%
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $27 −$27 -99%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria Jun 12 $24 +$14 +60%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $116 +$37 +32%
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Jun 12 $25 +$10 +42%
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 12 $69 +$43 +62%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $46 +$59 +129%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $59 +$23 +40%
Ilkley: Darja Vidmanova vs Lucrezia Stefanini Jun 12 $22 +$17 +79%
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren Jun 12 $67 +$43 +65%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 12 $7 +$10 +140%
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina Jun 12 $66 +$33 +50%
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur Jun 12 $319 +$82 +26%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 12 $25 +$33 +134%
Ilkley: Arthur Gea vs Mark Lajal Jun 12 $18 +$9 +52%
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette Jun 12 $21 +$21 +101%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $18 +$16 +90%
HSBC Championships: Jaqueline Cristian vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $17 +$8 +48%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $7 +$9 +134%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $120 +$36 +30%
Spread: England (-2.5) Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Anadolu Efes vs. Fenerbahce Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Modena: Leyre Romero Gormaz vs Mayar Sherif Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Hynek Barton Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5 Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Modena: Laura Samson vs Darja Semenistaja Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Lyon: Daniel Rincon vs Dali Blanch Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Chicago White Sox vs. Philadelphia Phillies Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$2,019
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa BUY Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva 41¢ $29 1h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata BUY Dino Prizmic 48¢ $84 1h
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker BUY Nicolas Kicker 67¢ $57 1h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 44¢ $125 2h
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic BUY Daniil Medvedev 63¢ $122 4h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Federico Cina 52¢ $54 5h
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley BUY Darwin Blanch 43¢ $38 6h
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu BUY Mark Lajal 42¢ $48 6h
Bratislava: Alexander Shevchenko vs Vitaliy Sachko BUY Vitaliy Sachko 42¢ $54 6h
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer BUY Tristan Boyer 63¢ $49 7h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 51¢ $33 17h
Seattle Mariners vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 52¢ $27 17h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 62¢ $4 23h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 62¢ $3 23h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 62¢ $2 23h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 62¢ $3 24h
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Federico Coria BUY Nicolas Kicker 62¢ $12 24h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 66¢ $20 25h
Tucuman: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi BUY Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi 61¢ $69 25h
Bratislava: Zsombor Piros vs Taro Daniel BUY Zsombor Piros 66¢ $11 26h
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Leyre Romero Gormaz BUY Leyre Romero Gormaz 61¢ $38 27h
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova BUY Iva Jovic 43¢ $46 28h
Libema Open: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Kamil Majchrzak BUY Felix Auger-Aliassime 72¢ $109 28h
Libema Open: Benjamin Bonzi vs Alex de Minaur BUY Alex de Minaur 79¢ $319 28h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 75¢ $116 29h
Bratislava: Zdenek Kolar vs Federico Cina BUY Federico Cina 66¢ $66 29h
Libema Open: Zeynep Sonmez vs Magda Linette BUY Magda Linette 49¢ $21 29h
Ilkley: Toby Samuel vs August Holmgren BUY Toby Samuel 60¢ $67 30h
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes BUY Kiwoom Heroes 41¢ $7 31h
Libema Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Adrian Mannarino BUY Zhizhen Zhang 42¢ $76 31h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +55%
net ROI/market (all)-10.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 136 -11.0% -19.4% 51% 51% -14.4%
≤30d 332 +3.8% -6.1% 59% 59% -5.9%
≤90d 1519 -0.7% -10.2% 56% 55% -13.8%
all 1519 -0.7% -10.2% 56% 55% -13.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover24.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.2% 55% -13.8%
10% ← realistic here -18.8% 53% -22.1%
15% -26.6% 49% -29.6%
20% -33.8% 39% -36.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $517.12 · official $517.13 (match) · 3500 history records